# Episode 810: "Kaneda's The Godfather CE Prediction"

**Source:** Kaneda's Pinball Podcast (Patreon feed)  
**Type:** podcast_episode  
**Published:** 2023-06-12  
**Duration:** 23m 23s  
**Beat:** Pinball

**URL:** https://www.patreon.com/posts/episode-810-ce-84465164

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## Analysis

Kaneda questions whether Jersey Jack Pinball truly sold 1,000 Godfather Collector's Editions at $15,000 each and predicts significant secondary market depreciation by August 2023 due to weak theme appeal and lack of meaningful toy integration. He criticizes Stern's pricing strategy on three-tier games (Pro/Premium/LE), argues the value differential doesn't justify the premium, and contrasts this unfavorably with Jersey Jack's CE pricing model. James Bond Pro receives mixed reviews for narrative cohesion and shot layout despite recent code updates.

### Key Claims

- [MEDIUM] Jersey Jack Pinball sold approximately 1,000 Godfather Collector's Editions at $15,000 each — _Kaneda speculating on whether this actually occurred; cites scarcity of used listings and distributor allocation tactics_
- [HIGH] Godfather CE lacks meaningful toy integration and is primarily shots/switches with screen clips — _Kaneda's direct criticism: 'the lack of true theme integration. You're just hitting switches and shots and seeing clips on a screen'_
- [LOW] Jersey Jack sold approximately 500 Godfather CEs directly to consumers and 500 to distributors — _Kaneda: 'I also heard this, and this is just a rumor, that Jersey Jack Pinball sold half of the collector's editions directly'_
- [MEDIUM] Stern's three-tier pricing model (Pro/Premium/LE) inflates LE value with only $500 additional parts cost — _Kaneda's estimation: 'there's probably only At most, like $500 more in parts' between Pro and LE_
- [HIGH] James Bond Pro on 0.92 code still lacks narrative cohesion and compelling shot layout — _Kaneda after ~20 location plays: 'The thing missing from this game for me... this game still doesn't really have a narrator that pulls you through any sort of storyline'_
- [MEDIUM] Jack Guarneri's theme selection track record is poor; only Wizard of Oz and Guns N' Roses were hits — _Kaneda: 'His bet on this was wrong. His bet on Toy Story 4 was wrong. His bet on The Hobbit was wrong. The only two bets that Jack got right were Wizard of Oz and Guns and Roses'_
- [HIGH] Toy Story 4 CE has lost $3,500 in value in under a year (now $11,500, down from $15,000) — _Kaneda citing current secondary market data: 'you can get one for $11,500. That's $3,500 loss in less than a year'_
- [HIGH] Godfather's weight (350 lbs vs typical 250 lbs) is causing cancellations due to moving logistics — _Kaneda citing specific order cancellation: 'the machine is too heavy... listing it for sale for 2500 firm'_

### Notable Quotes

> "Do you really think Jersey Jack pinball sold 1,000 Godfather CEs at $15,000 a pop?"
> — **Kaneda**, Opening
> _Central thesis; frames entire episode around demand/viability skepticism_

> "The whole experience and all of the shots, there is no way that there is twice the game in a Foo Fighters LE as a Foo Fighter Pro."
> — **Kaneda**, Foo Fighters discussion
> _Quantifies Stern's pricing problem; challenges LE value proposition directly_

> "It's just a vanity tax. That's all it is. It's a vanity tax."
> — **Kaneda**, LE pricing criticism
> _Characterizes Stern's premium tier strategy as purely cosmetic/psychological_

> "I think by August you're going to see Godfather CEs sell for $12,500 or less. You will not see this game ever go up in any value, and it won't hold value."
> — **Kaneda**, Prediction section
> _Specific, dated prediction with $250 wager; key accountability mechanism_

> "This is going to be the big issue with Jersey Jack Pinball... The Harry Potter news is the final nail in the coffin for the Godfather pinball machine."
> — **Kaneda**, Godfather market analysis
> _Identifies Harry Potter as competitive threat cannibalizing Godfather demand_

> "For the rest of us, we want toys. We want fun combos. We don't just want to say the shots are the new toys. For this much money, freaking engineer something that makes me go, wow."
> — **Kaneda**, Closing
> _Articulates core design philosophy complaint; distinguishes toy-based from shot-based gameplay_

> "Every Batman episode was like, we have to put the villains in jail. And so Batman so masterfully brings that feeling to you the moment you turn on the Batman 66 pinball machine."
> — **Kaneda**, James Bond critique
> _Benchmark example of thematic narrative integration Godfather/James Bond lacks_

> "Derek, for the rest of us, we want toys. We want fun combos... If you made Final Fantasy VII pinball, that would be Derek's dream come true."
> — **Kaneda**, Closing
> _Calls out specific player preference segments (simulator vs toy players)_

### Entities

| Name | Type | Context |
|------|------|---------|
| Kaneda | person | Host of Kaneda's Pinball Podcast; pinball analyst with community platform; makes specific market predictions |
| Jersey Jack Pinball | company | Boutique manufacturer in question for Godfather CE production run and sales volume claims |
| Stern Pinball | company | Criticized for three-tier pricing model (Pro/Premium/LE) and perceived value gaps |
| Jack Guarneri | person | Jersey Jack Pinball founder/executive; criticized for poor theme selection track record; allegedly made bold claim about Godfather being a hit |
| Godfather | game | Jersey Jack Pinball title under analysis; $15,000 CE, 1,000 unit production run claimed; weak theme appeal; central focus of episode |
| Godfather Collector's Edition | product | Premium tier of Godfather; $15,000 price point; subject of depreciation prediction |
| Foo Fighters | game | Stern Pinball recent release; Pro $6,700, LE $13,000; used as pricing comparison benchmark |
| James Bond | game | Stern Pinball title on 0.92 code; played ~20 times by Kaneda at location; criticized for narrative and layout |
| Toy Story 4 | game | Jersey Jack Pinball title; cited as failed theme selection; CE now selling for $11,500 (down from $15,000+) |
| The Hobbit | game | Jersey Jack Pinball title; cited as failed Jack Guarneri theme selection |
| Wizard of Oz | game | Jersey Jack Pinball title; cited as one of two successful Jack Guarneri theme selections |
| Guns N' Roses | game | Jersey Jack Pinball title; cited as one of two successful Jack Guarneri theme selections |
| The Matrix | game | Rumored/upcoming Jersey Jack Pinball game; positioned as strong competitor to Godfather; mentioned as reason players may walk away from CE orders |
| Harry Potter | game | Upcoming Jersey Jack Pinball game (2025 per KB); cited as 'final nail in the coffin' for Godfather demand; distributor allocation incentive |
| Godzilla | game | Stern Pinball recent release; LE $10,500; compared favorably to Foo Fighters and James Bond for shootability |
| Venom | game | Stern Pinball title; mentioned as reason players may delay Godfather payment or walk away from orders |
| Batman 66 | game | Stern Pinball title; used as benchmark for narrative cohesion and thematic integration |
| Christopher Franchi | person | Godfather artist; Kaneda questions whether artwork alone justified CE demand |
| Eric Minear | person | Recipient of Kaneda's $250 wager if Godfather CE prediction proves incorrect |
| Derek | person | Unnamed community member/pinball enthusiast; characterized by Kaneda as JJP fanboy who prefers simulator/RPG-style gameplay over toy integration |
| Steve Ritchie | person | Jersey Jack Pinball designer; rumored next game to be reached by end of summer as Godfather production winds down |

### Topics

- **Primary:** Godfather CE secondary market depreciation prediction, Jersey Jack Pinball theme selection and business strategy, Stern three-tier pricing model (Pro/Premium/LE) value justification, Godfather production volume claims (1,000 units)
- **Secondary:** James Bond pinball narrative and design critique, Toy integration vs shot-based gameplay philosophy, Distributor allocation strategies and supply chain dynamics, Harry Potter and The Matrix as future market threats to Godfather

### Sentiment

**Negative** (-0.72) — Kaneda is highly critical of Jersey Jack's Godfather theme selection, Jack Guarneri's decision-making, and Stern's pricing practices. However, he expresses enjoyment of Foo Fighters gameplay while maintaining that prices are unjustifiable. Tone is frustrated rather than hostile—analytical skepticism dominates.

### Signals

- **[business_signal]** Distributor forced allocation strategy: buy Godfather CE to secure Harry Potter allocations; indicates soft demand without artificial ordering (confidence: medium) — Kaneda: 'distributors realized early on a very simple thing. If they want to get the next hot game from Jersey Jack Pinball, they're going to have to maintain their allocations'
- **[competitive_signal]** Harry Potter positioned as demand cannibalizer for Godfather; creates secondary market urgency for CE holders (confidence: medium) — Kaneda: 'The Harry Potter news is the final nail in the coffin for the Godfather pinball machine'
- **[product_concern]** Godfather CE weight (350 lbs vs 250 lbs standard) causing order cancellations; cancellation at $2,500 loss suggests weak demand conviction (confidence: high) — Kaneda: 'because the machine is too heavy. I bring my machines down a couple flights of stairs... listing it for sale for 2500 firm'
- **[design_philosophy]** Godfather criticized for screen-clip-based gameplay vs toy-based integration; foundational mismatch with JJP collector base expectations (confidence: high) — Kaneda: 'the lack of true theme integration. You're just hitting switches and shots and seeing clips on a screen. That's not what Jersey Jack built his fan base around'
- **[market_signal]** Godfather CE scarcity on used market (only ~3 units) contradicts 1,000 unit production claim viability (confidence: medium) — Kaneda: 'if a thousand of these sold, and there's only like three for sale right now on pin side, that's a really good sign for the market on this game'
- **[market_signal]** Toy Story 4 CE depreciation ($11,500 current vs ~$15,000 launch) demonstrates JJP title value collapse pattern (confidence: high) — Kaneda: 'you can get one for $11,500. That's $3,500 loss in less than a year'
- **[personnel_signal]** Jack Guarneri's theme selection record questioned; only 2 of 5+ selections deemed successful (Wizard of Oz, Guns N' Roses) (confidence: medium) — Kaneda: 'His bet on this was wrong. His bet on Toy Story 4 was wrong... The only two bets that Jack got right were Wizard of Oz and Guns and Roses'
- **[market_signal]** Stern Foo Fighters LE at $13,000 lacks value justification; Kaneda estimates only $500 incremental parts cost vs Pro tier (confidence: high) — Kaneda: 'there's probably only At most, like $500 more in parts. That goes into a freaking LE than a pro'
- **[market_signal]** All-tier pinball pricing has inflated ~30% in recent years; three-tier model creating margin compression that reduces LE differentiation value (confidence: medium) — Kaneda: 'just a couple years ago, all these things were 30% less money'
- **[product_strategy]** Godfather production at capacity; rumor: Steve Ritchie next game reaches by end of summer as Godfather orders complete (confidence: low) — Kaneda: 'they're going to get to Steve Ritchie's next game by the end of summer because sales and orders for Godfather are done'
- **[product_concern]** James Bond Pro on 0.92 code lacks narrative pull and shot layout satisfaction despite recent code updates and community hype (confidence: high) — Kaneda after 20 location plays: 'this game still doesn't really have a narrator that pulls you through any sort of storyline'
- **[sentiment_shift]** Community perception of Godfather CE weakening as deliveries commence; expected secondary market testing within months (confidence: medium) — Kaneda: 'I think people will enjoy this game, but I think a lot of people after a couple of months are going to be like, all right, I'm 15K in on this'

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## Transcript

 Welcome everybody to Canada's Pinball Podcast. Happy Monday. I'm still getting my voice back, but I'm still going to do a great episode right now. Thank you for being a member of the Canada Club. On this episode, I want to tackle one big issue, and then I'm going to talk about some other stuff going on in pinball. But the big thing, it's not even an issue. It's just a question. It's a question I have for each and every one of you. Do you really think Jersey Jack pinball sold 1,000 Godfather CEs at $15,000 a pop? I want to talk about whether or not we think this actually happened. And now that the games are on the line, I want to talk about what I think is going to happened to Godfather Collector's Edition when people have to pony up this much money for this game, which we know that like 98% of people in the pinball world did not have this as a theme that they wanted, that they were going to bolt to the floor of their game rooms. Because now it gets real, people. Now you got to send in the big checks. We already saw someone who's trying to sell their spot. Here's the greatest excuse of all time, because the machine is too heavy. I bring my machines down a couple flights of stairs and it has to make a 90 degree turn and usually games weigh 250 pounds but because this game weighs 350 pounds we can't possibly move this game into my game room so he's listing it for sale for 2500 firm you're not even willing to wheel and deal on this game i'm telling you right now these things are not going to be going for 15 000 in just a couple months and we're also going to talk about a few other things happening in the pinball world galactic tank force is finally making its way to customers pulp fiction are they going to be able to get another moment of adrenaline in the pulp fiction space i don't think anyone cares i think everyone has seen all they need to see on pulp fiction when that game comes out in the fall and then stern pinball is obviously going to clobber everybody when they move to their new factory and make a thousand games a week i mean that's going to happen we're going to talk about that. And I also want to remind everybody that yours truly, Kaneda, will be on vacation June 26th through the 30th. Brenda and I are going to the Bahamas. Brenda's sister will be watching Killian. So I will not be packing up any microphones or computers. I am going to take that entire week off. Now here's the exciting part for each and every one of you. Before you threaten to cancel your Canada Club membership, which is still the best bang for the buck in all the freaking pinball. I mean, think about how many years you can listen to Canadian Pinball Podcast or buy a flat plastic Godzilla topper. $1,000. You know how many years you can listen to Canadian Pinball Podcast for almost 17 freaking years? 17 years you can listen to Canadian Pinball Podcast at $60 a year. Or you could have some RGB LED lights and think flat plastic toppers are now worth $1,000. All right, but here's what I'm going to do the week before my vacation, every single day the week before, which is next week. I am going to do a different podcast each day. And this is going to be fun because I'm going to do a deep dive on the top five pinball companies. And I'm going to go in depth on where I think they are this year. I'm going to talk about what they're doing very well, what they should improve upon and what kind of year I think they're going to have. What are the surprises? What are the secrets? And just the overall vibe of each of these companies. And so get ready for one show a day. That means five new episodes of Canada's Pinball Podcast. So please don't leave when that $5 bill hits you. Remember why you joined Canada's Pinball Podcast, because I'm always going to give you the most content out of everybody and not take two hours to get to the point. So I want to start with a couple things first. I went over to Jack Bar. I played James Bond Pro on .92 code. Now I've been in the pin side thread and it seems like everybody who owns a James Bond is like, oh my God, the game is so alive right now. Oh my God, there's so much in it. And after playing this game about 20 times on location, I still think this game has a long ways to go. The thing missing from this game for me, and I'm going to get to the design layout in a little bit. The thing that's still missing from me in James Bond Pinball, when you hit the start button, this game still doesn't really have a narrator that pulls you through any sort of storyline. The game doesn't really communicate to you on any level like, hey, you're James Bond. Like, hey, we have to go on these missions. Like, hey, we have to go get these gadgets. There's absolutely no communication. It doesn't set the stage for what the game is all about. And that's my thing with James Bond. It just doesn't have the cohesiveness of a game like Batman 66. And I think the challenge is, right, is like every Batman episode was like, we have to put the villains in jail. And so Batman so masterfully brings that feeling to you the moment you turn on the Batman 66 pinball machine. And when I start playing James Bond, like a lot's happening. There's all this stuff going on, but I just don't feel a connectiveness to this game. And I don't think it's there yet. I really don't think it's there yet. The other part about James Bond and you just can change this about the game I don find the layout to be that satisfying I still feel like all of the shots up the middle and to the upper left are just unsatisfying and then you got these two ramps that are somewhat difficult to hit. I just don't love the layout of the game and nothing in the software department could ever change that and when I play a game like Foo Fighters and a game like Godzilla I just think they shoot so much better than James Bond. And I think the thing is this. I think for a lot of you that own a James Bond, you like it because it's so different than other games. And I'll give you that. But if I had a small pinball lineup, I don't think James Bond would make it into my lineup solely based on the way it shoots. I still feel it's a little bit clunky. I also feel it's really hard to hit a lot of the shots on the right side of the game and I just don't find it that rewarding to shoot. I hope six months from now I can jump on this game and all of it makes a lot more sense. I'm going to keep plugging away. I have fun playing it like it's fun to play every pinball machine but right now James Bond doesn't grab me the way Foo Fighters grabs me the moment I turn the game on. It doesn't grab me the way Godzilla does and that's why I'm comparing it to some of Stern's most recent games is I think there's still a long way to go. And I hope you get everything you want in it. But right now, I don't think it's there. Now let's go to Foo Fighters. Like I had a great time shooting Foo Fighters. It was a Foo Fighters pro. I put up my highest score to date was like 260 million points. I know that's not a lot. I don't really know how to play the game yet. I don't know how to turn on the multipliers because that's how you get to the big points. But Foo Fighters is an interesting game. Like it's really fast and it can be really brutal at times. But every once in a while, you get that game where you just start to hit everything. You just start to hit all the combos. You just start to feel the flow of the game. And that's really when the game wakes up so tremendously well. And I think the game is a blast. If I was a Foo Fighter fan, I would be really happy about this game. But I do have one caveat. After playing the Foo Fighters Pro for like an hour and looking down at that game for like $6,700, I don't know how you could ever spend $13,000 on an LE. I don't know how an LE could be double the price of a Foo Fighters Pro. The whole experience and all of the shots, there is no way that there is twice the game in a Foo Fighters LE as a Foo Fighter Pro. And this is my issue with Stern Pinball now. It's not that I'm not having a lot of fun on their games. Their games are great. It's just looking down at a Stern, I really still, to this day, I struggle tremendously to see anywhere near anything over $10,000 in value for a Stern machine. There is no way. Think about it like this. If a Stern Foo Fighter Pro is $6,700, or let's just say $6,500, an LE then is an entire another Foo Fighter Pro price put into the LE machine? I mean, that's two of everything. Two cabinets, two driver boards, all the node boards, all the speakers, all the legs. And think about it from their standpoint. How much money do you actually think in parts and labor is the difference over at Stern between an LE and a Pro? It's probably, I'm just going to say this, there's probably only At most, like $500 more in parts. That goes into a freaking LE than a pro of this machine. $500 at most. And we're spending $6,500 more. That is how I felt when I walked away from Foo Fighters Pro. I felt like this is all I would need. I would just need a Foo Fighters Pro to have a good time. And look, we all know the only reason why we're spending so much money on these LEs, it's just a vanity tax. That's all it is. It's a vanity tax. How could you sit someone down and explain why even an LE is $3,000 more than a premium? I mean, it doesn't even come with a topper. So where is the $3,000 go? It's the same exact play field. Everything is the same exact. The artwork is the same. The mechs are the same. You could take a premium play field that's fully populated on any Stern machine and put it into an LE cabinet and nobody would know the difference. At least Jersey Jack for the $3,000 more money or $2,500 more. No, I think it's $3,000 more. At least Jersey Jack pinball, they change the freaking artwork. They add gold glitter and they give you a topper. Jersey Jack actually gives you perceivable value between the LE and the CE, where Stern absolutely does not between the LE and the premium. All right, so speaking of CEs of Jersey Jack Pinball, how did they sell 1,000 Godfathers at $15,000 a pop? Was it the Christopher Franchi artwork? Was it the topper? Was it the theme? Was it the gold stuff on the legs of the cabinet? How did they sell that many at that kind of price point on a theme that most people didn't want? And here's the other part. How did they sell a thousand Godfather CEs when the majority of people who ordered one never played a single game? Let's just go down one road. The first road I want to go down is every single one of these games has sold to a pinball buyer most likely a pinball collector So 1 Godfather CEs are gonna be unboxed over the next few months. What happens if that is the scenario? Well, I think what's gonna happen first is this. I think you're gonna still see more and more games pop up for sale. What's been interesting, you haven't been able to find a Godfather CE for sale for the last few weeks, which leads people to believe, right, If the game is sold out and if one comes up for sale, it's going to go instantly. But as I was saying, if they're going to make a thousand, there is no way everybody who committed to one is going to want to fork over the rest of the balance. Because right now, all you had to give was a $2,500 non-refundable deposit. Okay. All right. 2,500 bucks. There's a big difference between $2,500 and then giving another check for $12,500. And amongst those 1,000 buyers, here's what's going to happen. There are going to be a few people who go through some life changes who can no longer afford it. So that's going to happen to some of the 1,000 buyers. You're also going to find some people that, you know, it's too heavy or this or that, or I bought something else, or my Scooby-Doo came up, or I started to realize that Stern Pinball Foo Fighter is amazing, or I really want to wait for Venom, or I'm hearing the rumor that it might be The Matrix, you're going to get some people that allocated their money to something else, or there just might be something else in pinball now that they're more excited for, and that might leave them to walk away. But I'm not seeing a lot for sale, people. So if a thousand of these sold, and there's only like three for sale right now on pin side, that's a really good sign for the market on this game. Now I want to go down another road. This is the road that's more realistic. I think all thousand of these games sold through to distributors. Now that does not mean that distributors have buyers for every single game. But I think distributors realized early on a very simple thing. If they want to get the next hot game from Jersey Jack Pinball, they're going to have to maintain their allocations of collector's editions and buy into this game because they're going to want to get the matrix and especially Harry Potter. So they're going to order them even if they don't have a buyer lined up. And what we know about Godfather sales right now is this. The only real game people want is Godfather collector's edition because at $3,000 more than the LE, you get so much more game. It looks so much better. And if you can afford $12,000, you can afford $15,000. And that's why Godfather LE new in box can be had today and people don't want it. If you own a Godfather LE, your game is now worth $10,000 and you are still going to have a hard time finding someone to buy it for that price. And Godfather LE sales are just dead right now. And this is going to be the big issue with Jersey Jack Pinball. And the rumor I'm hearing is they're going to get to Steve Ritchie's next game by the end of summer because sales and orders for Godfather are done. I also heard that Jack Winari went on a limb and told everybody this theme was going to be a hit. Now, how do you think the Abbess family feels right now? Looking down at the order banks for Godfather and then looking at Jack Guarnieri and is like, what are you talking about, Jack? It's not early 1970s. Like there was no way this slow mafia drama was ever going to catch lightning in a bottle with a pinball buying fan base, especially coming off the heels of Toy Story 4, which nobody wanted. And it's nowhere near as cool as Guns N' Roses. It's nowhere near as good of a theme for pinball as Godzilla and Foo Fighters and Venom and Back to the Future and freaking Harry Potter now. I mean, the Harry Potter news is the final nail in the coffin for the Godfather pinball machine. So Jack's bet was wrong. His bet on this was wrong. His bet on Toy Story 4 was wrong. His bet on The Hobbit was wrong. The only two bets that Jack got right were Wizard of Oz and Guns and Roses. None of his other selections. And Jack has been in charge of theme selection for this company since day one. Most of us could sit in a room and pick better licensed themes than what they've been coming out with. I think distributors have placed a decent amount of orders for Godfather CE because that's where the demand is. Now, I also heard this, and this is just a rumor, that Jersey Jack Pinball sold half of the collector's editions directly. Now, the distributors are not happy about that, right? Because they want to make money on every game they sell and they can't sell the freaking LEs. So they wanted to get as many CEs as possible. Okay, so I think Jersey Jack possibly sold 500 directly and then 500 went to distributors globally. So here's what I think is going to happen. So now they have to make 1,000 collector's editions of The Godfather. So do you think there's a thousand people that ordered the game? Nobody knows, right? Nobody knows for sure. But I'm going to say I don't think there is a thousand. I would say probably somewhere around the ballpark of 700 of these probably have customers that have paid for the game. I think another 300 or so might be spread out over distributors over the globe who might be speculating on this game. Maybe higher than that. Maybe 800 sold and 200 are unspoken for. I don't know. But even as I say that though right Like wouldn distributors want to sell the game So maybe I wrong Maybe they did sell all 1 units of Godfather CEs which is crazy when you think about it. $15,000. And every time I look down at the game, I don't see a $15,000 game. Now to be fair, when I look down at Foo Fighters LE, I don't see a $13,000 game, especially because Godzilla LE, which has more in it, was only $10,500. We need to not forget that just a couple years ago, all these things were 30% less money. But here's my prediction on Godfather. Because it was not a dream theme that most people wanted, I still think most people are going to go through with their orders. I think most people will take delivery of the game. But I think in the next couple of months, what we're going to see is this. As these games finally become real, and as people finally unbox them and play them, I think what's going to happen is this. I think people are going to have a very short honeymoon period with the game, even though it's Jersey Jack's best shooting game to date. I think the theme alone and the lack of toys in the game, I mean this, the lack of true theme integration. You're just hitting switches and shots and seeing clips on a screen. That's not what Jersey Jack built his fan base around. I think people will enjoy this game, but I think a lot of people after a couple of months are going to be like, all right, I'm 15K in on this. And the matrix might be a couple months away. Once they start to go up for sale on the secondhand market, you're going to start to see the market tested on this game pretty quickly. And if history has shown us anything, this can be like catching a falling knife because I think it's going to go down pretty significantly, pretty quickly. And this again, again, the market will prove whether I'm right or wrong, but I think you're going to start to see Godfather CEs by August trade for 12 to 12.5. By August, I think you're going to see a $2,500 shedding of value in just a few months. We are seeing Toy Story collector's editions, which still arguably, even though it's an easier game, it's still a bigger theme for the pinball buying demographic than the Godfather. We're already seeing these games sell. you can get one for $11,500. That's $3,500 loss in less than a year on a single game. Jersey Jack really needs to have a meeting and they need to figure this out. The only way out of this for Jersey Jack are themes like The Matrix, themes like Harry Potter. And so I am so curious. Let's hold Canada to this. My prediction by August of 2023, you will see Godfather CEs sell for $12,500 or less. You will not see this game ever go up in any value, and it won't hold value. That is my prediction, and that is why I've been saying to everybody, wait and see. Why wouldn't you wait and see? When these collectors unbox a game and play it, they keep it in mint condition. They barely play their machines. Why would you want the same exact experience, but spend 2,500 more or 3,000 more. And all you got to do is wait three months, people. That's all you got to do. I'm not asking you to wait three years. I'm not asking you to wait like forever. If you just waited three months from the date the collector's editions go on the line, you will be able to save almost $3,000. Mark my word. I am willing to put Canada's entire reputation on this prediction. Let's see what happens. Hold me accountable. And let me do this. If Jersey Jack Pinball Godfather Collector's Editions have held value or are selling for north of $13,000, I'm just going to send Eric Meunier $250 for proving me wrong. That's it. I'm going to send Eric Meunier a $250 tip just for proving me wrong. How about that? People are like, Kennedy, you're being a jerk. How much am I supposed to offer him to make it equal to my trollish behavior, right? Anyway, everybody, happy Monday. Let's see if this prediction comes true. And the other thing I can't wait for just to get these CEs out is I really want to hear from more owners. Like we hardly hear from anybody playing the Godfather. The people that have it now are the ultimate JJP fanboys. Derek, you know you are one. You don't care about theme integration. You don't care about toys. I know, Derek, you want a freaking role-playing game disguised as a pinball machine. If you made Final Fantasy VII pinball, that would be Derek's dream come true. But Derek, for the rest of us, we want toys. We want fun combos. We don't just want to say the shots are the new toys. For this much money, freaking engineer something that makes me go, wow. Kaneda out. Stay like so My love is a lie to go

_(Acquisition: groq_whisper, Enrichment: v3)_

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*Exported from Journalist Tool on 2026-04-13 | Item ID: 01c16a15-1678-4ea1-88f5-0cf13bc1f1f5*