# Harry Potter Starting to Drop? | This Month's Pinball Market January 2026

**Source:** LoserKid YouTube  
**Type:** video  
**Published:** 2026-01-05  
**Duration:** 8m 41s  
**Beat:** Pinball

**URL:** https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kY0l3n_Sejo

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## Analysis

LoserKid analyzes January 2026 pinball secondary market trends using Pinside and pinballprices.com data. Stern games show mixed performance with several titles declining (Foo Fighters, Star Trek, TMNT, Iron Man (Vault)) while The Munsters (Premium) and World Poker Tour surge. Harry Potter Potter Collector's Editions are declining slightly but retaining value, with Elton John CE holding steady. American Pinball titles show weak secondary market activity overall, with only older titles like Houdini and Oktoberfest maintaining some demand.

### Key Claims

- [HIGH] Harry Potter Collector's Editions are down 1% from $15,000 average, with some selling as low as $14,000 and as high as $15,100 on the secondary market — _LoserKid, citing Pinside and pinballprices.com market data for January 2026_
- [MEDIUM] Jersey Jersey Jack Pinball is not numbering Harry Potter CEs and is 'building these puppies as fast and as much as they can' until production must shut down — _LoserKid's interpretation/theory about JJP's production strategy based on secondary market patterns_
- [HIGH] The Munsters (Premium) is up 3% from its $9,000 average, representing a significant recovery from its $6,300 lowest point in 2021 — _LoserKid, citing year-over-year market data_
- [HIGH] World Poker Tour is up 20% from its $3,500 average, with recent sales ranging from $3,300 to $5,200 — _LoserKid, citing recent secondary market sales data_
- [HIGH] American Pinball games in general are not selling well on the secondary market; only older titles like Houdini and Oktoberfest are seeing consistent sales — _LoserKid's analysis of American Pinball secondary market liquidity_
- [HIGH] Foo Fighters (Premium/LE) is down 6% from its $10,000 average, selling between $8,500 and $11,000 with fully modded versions at the high end — _LoserKid market analysis data_
- [HIGH] Star Trek (Pro) is down 15% from its $5,500 average, with prices ranging from $4,300 to $5,100 — _LoserKid market analysis_
- [HIGH] Iron Man (Vault) is down 20% from its $6,500 average, selling between $4,700 and $5,900 — _LoserKid market analysis_

### Notable Quotes

> "My theory is is that since they are not numbering the CEs, they are building these puppies as fast and as much as they can until they've got to shut it down."
> — **LoserKid**, ~2:40
> _Speculation about Jersey Jack Pinball's production strategy for Harry Potter CEs based on secondary market absence of other editions_

> "If you're looking for a good modern game that is very satisfying to play, I highly recommend this title."
> — **LoserKid**, ~0:45
> _Endorsement of Foo Fighters Ellie despite its declining secondary market value_

> "I do feel bad for people that own this game that can't get rid of it, that want to get rid of it."
> — **LoserKid**, ~1:15
> _Commentary on TMNT Pro's liquidity issues and owner frustration with value retention_

> "You don't see these type of games anymore in a modern layout."
> — **LoserKid**, ~1:50
> _Appreciation for Monsters Premium's throwback design approach in contemporary pinball manufacturing_

> "American Pinball games aren't really selling on the secondary market and the ones that are seem to be those older games like Houdini and Oktoberfest."
> — **LoserKid**, ~4:10
> _Direct assessment of American Pinball's weak secondary market performance relative to Stern and JJP_

### Entities

| Name | Type | Context |
|------|------|---------|
| LoserKid | person | YouTube content creator hosting monthly pinball market analysis show |
| Ted Finley | person | Operator of pinballprices.com, market data source cited by LoserKid |
| Jack Danger | person | Designer/layout creator credited for Foo Fighters Ellie |
| Raymond Davidson | person | Code designer for Foo Fighters Ellie |
| [name withheld pending review] | person | Code designer for Foo Fighters Ellie |
| John Borg | person | Designer of Iron Man Pro Vault |
| Lyman F. Sheats Jr. | person | Designer of Iron Man Pro Vault |
| Stern Pinball | company | Major pinball manufacturer; subject of market analysis segment |
| Jersey Jack Pinball | company | Premium pinball manufacturer; called 'the darling of 2025' for Harry Potter's success |
| American Pinball | company | Boutique pinball manufacturer; noted for weak secondary market performance in this analysis |
| Pinside | organization | Pinball community website and market data source used by LoserKid |
| pinballprices.com | organization | Pinball market pricing and valuation website operated by Ted Finley |
| Harry Potter | game | Jersey Jack Pinball's premium 2025 release; flagship title of the year with strong market performance |
| Foo Fighters (Premium/LE) | game | Stern Pinball title; down 6% from $10,000 average in January 2026 secondary market |
| Star Trek (Pro) | game | Stern Pinball title; down 15% from $5,500 average |
| Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (Pro) | game | Stern Pinball title; down 16% from $5,400 average; noted as difficult for beginners |
| Iron Man (Vault) | game | Stern Pinball title by John Borg/Lyman Sheets; down 20% from $6,500 average |
| Monsters Premium | game | Stern Pinball title; up 3% from $9,000 average; noted for throwback design gaining hype |
| World Poker Tour | game | Stern Pinball title; up 20% from $3,500 average; experiencing surge in secondary market sales |
| Toy Story 4 | game | Jersey Jack Pinball family-friendly title; down 9% from $9,000 average |
| Godfather LE | game | Jersey Jack Pinball title; down 13% from $7,600 average; noted as great value comparable to Stern Pro pricing |
| Elton John Collector's Edition | game | Jersey Jack Pinball premium title; up 1% from $12,500 average; demonstrating strong value retention |
| Houdini | game | American Pinball title; down 6% from $5,300 average; older American game showing secondary market demand |
| Oktoberfest | game | American Pinball title; down 7% from $5,700 average; one of few American games with consistent secondary market sales |
| Flash | game | 1979 Williams solid-state pinball game; featured as deal listing for $850; notable as one of Williams' first solid-state releases |

### Signals

- **[market_signal]** Harry Potter Collector's Edition down 1% from $15,000 average; secondary market showing early signs of value erosion for flagship JJP title (confidence: high) — LoserKid reports CEs down 1% with sales range $14,000-$15,100; notes 'now might be the time to start dabbling' suggesting emerging buyer advantage
- **[product_concern]** American Pinball games struggling for secondary market liquidity; only older titles (Houdini, Oktoberfest) maintaining consistent sales (confidence: high) — LoserKid states 'Most American games aren't really selling on the secondary market' and notes only one Barry O's Barbecue sale across all models
- **[market_signal]** World Poker Tour experiencing unexpected secondary market surge, up 20% from $3,500 average with recent sales range $3,300-$5,200 (confidence: high) — LoserKid reports 'surge right now with a handful of them selling just in the last couple months' and cites this as 'one that kind of shocked me'
- **[market_signal]** Monsters Premium recovering strongly after hitting $6,300 low in 2021; now averaging $9,000 with up 3% trend (confidence: high) — LoserKid highlights recovery trajectory: 'lowest point was $6,300 way back in 2021...is up 3% from its average of $9,000'
- **[manufacturing_signal]** Jersey Jack Pinball potentially pursuing aggressive production of Harry Potter unnumbered CEs without limiting supply (confidence: medium) — LoserKid speculates: 'since they are not numbering the CEs, they are building these puppies as fast and as much as they can until they've got to shut it down'
- **[collector_signal]** Elton John Collector's Edition maintaining stable secondary market value at $12,500 average over time; emerging as reliable hold for collectors (confidence: high) — LoserKid states 'This game has proven that is a great shooting game and is retaining its value over years now' and 'I don't think you have to worry anymore'
- **[sentiment_shift]** Positive community sentiment shift toward throwback design approach; Monsters Premium gaining hype despite modern release (confidence: high) — LoserKid notes Monsters Premium 'is getting a lot of hype recently' and praises 'you don't see these type of games anymore in a modern layout'
- **[market_signal]** Multiple Stern titles showing significant secondary market price declines (Star Trek Pro -15%, TMNT Pro -16%, Iron Man -20%), suggesting oversupply or weakening demand (confidence: high) — Four of five Stern titles analyzed show double-digit percentage declines from manufacturer averages
- **[operational_signal]** TMNT Pro owners experiencing liquidity challenges; sentiment indicates difficulty offloading machines (confidence: medium) — LoserKid states 'I do feel bad for people that own this game that can't get rid of it, that want to get rid of it' despite -16% decline
- **[market_signal]** Vintage 1979 Williams Flash showing strong relative value; $850 asking price significantly below $1,500 secondary market average (confidence: high) — LoserKid highlights 47-year-old game with 'playfield appears to be in really good condition' as 'good addition to your game room or stepping stone'

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## Transcript

Happy new year. We've got new trends with the pinball market as it sits right now. We're going to be going through stern jersey jack pinball and American pinball. Plus, still got another sweet deal for you if you're looking to gobble something up. This is this month's pinball marker. All right, if this is your first time here, just a quick explanation. I take the numbers from Pinside and also from Ted Finley at pinballprices.com. And I I take these to give us a percentage on what pinball machines are doing. Uh these are used market numbers only. I do not have access to new market numbers because those are private to the manufacturers, the dealers, and the distributors that sell those games. So this is trying to give a better idea of what's happening on the used market. That kind of gives us a reflection of what's going on overall. I like to start off with Stern because honestly, they're the numbers that sell the most on the secondary market. Foo Fighters Ellie is down 6% from its average of $10,000. Selling as low as $8,500 and as high as $11,000. The high side usually is fully modded out. That low side is just kind of standard LE, which is still a great price for an LE. And honestly, it's a great game. Jack Danger did a great job with this layout. And Raymond Davidson, Antonio Kly did wonderful on the code. If you're looking for a good modern game that is very satisfying to play, I highly recommend this title. Star Trek Pro is down 15% from its average of $5,500. Selling as low as 4,300 and as high as 5100. This is a great game also to have in your collection and it's got a wonderful rule set. It's great for beginners up to experts. Teenage Man Turtles Pro is down 16% from its average of 5,400. I'm seeing them as low as $4,000 on the secondary market, as high as 5,100. I do feel bad for people that own this game that can't get rid of it, that want to get rid of it. But honestly, if you're looking for a great modern game, I recommend this one. But beware is not for beginners. It is definitely going to put you through the paces while you're playing it. And last on my down list for Stern is Iron Man Pro Vault. is down 20% from its average of $6,500. Selling as low as 4,700 and as high as 5,900. This is a wonderful game from the mind of John Borg and Lyman Sheets. The rules are just as engaging as you would like from a monster bash, from a medieval madness, from Attack from Mars, and the brutality of a Borg layout. Uh, if you're looking for this game, I highly recommend it and especially where it's dropping in value, pick one up for a lot cheaper one they've been in the past. All right, let's talk about what is up in the Stern world. Monsters Premium. This game is getting a lot of hype recently and is up from its lowest point was $6,300 way back in 2021. This is the averages for this year for 2025 though. Monsters is up for 3% from its average of $9,000 with one selling recently for $9,500. This is a great modern game with the throwback code and layout. Uh, and I just you don't see these type of games anymore in a modern layout. And then the one that kind of shocked me, this game is up 20% from its average of $3,500. World Poker Tour is seeing a surge right now with a handful of them selling just in the last couple months. They're selling as low as $3,300 bucks, but I've seen some as high as $5,200. Once again, this is a great game and it has a ton of drop targets. If you've never seen this game, go check it out. All right, we're moving on to Jersey Jack Pinball. The darling of 2025, Harry Potter right now. CES are selling on the secondary market. Seem to be the only ones that are selling. My theory is is that since they are not numbering the CES, they are building these puppies as fast and as much as they can until they've got to shut it down. So, I'm not seeing anything else. I saw uh besides one wizard edition, which sold for the 125, which is its average price from the manufacturer. But CES, these are the collector's editions, are down 1% from its average of $15,000. I've seen a couple sell as low as $14,000 and some as high as 151. So, it's still somewhat retaining its value, but if this is a game that you're looking to get in your collection, now might be the time to start dabbling in those depending on how this pans out. Toy Story 4 is down 9% from its average of $9,000, selling as low as $8,000 and as high as $8,500. This is a family favorite and if you've been looking to get a jersey jacket into your collection, this is a fun layout to put into your collection that might make the kids happy. Last on my down part is Godfatherle. It is down 13% from its average of $7,600. This one's selling as low as 6250 and the high is $7,000. That is a Jersey Jack for a lower than a Stern Pro price. That is a heck of a deal on a great game. I highly recommend checking this out for that price. All right, up from Jersey Jack. Elton John Collector's Edition is up 1% from its average of 12,500. It's selling as low as 12,600 and as high as $13,000. This game has proven that is a great shooting game and is retaining its value over years now. Uh if you are in the market for one, I highly recommend picking one up. And if you're worried about that secondary market drop, I don't think you have to worry anymore. This game is proving itself to retain its value over time. All right, let's talk about American Pinball. First on the list is Barry O's Barbecue. I can tell you it's down. Here's the problem is there's only one that has sold and that's all the very barbecues. I'm telling you, Ellies, Classic Editions, whatever it's called. I just can't give you a percentage of what it's down because when you only have one selling across all models, I can't I just can't. So, the one that did sell was a classic edition and it sold for $4,300. There you go. All right. Houdini. It is down 6% from its average of $5,300. This is the game that American originally came out out with years ago, and it still seems to be a fan favorite. People love this game. We have several of these games selling for anywhere about 4,800 on the low and 5,400 on the high. Honestly though, it appears to be retaining its value and actually selling on the secondary market, which is more that can be said than most American games. October Fest is down 7% with its average of $5,700. With four games selling recently from anywhere from 4500 to 5800, this one still seems to be somewhat retaining its value as well and somewhat soughta. Like I said, most American games aren't really selling on the secondary market and the ones that are seem to be those older games like Houdini and Oktoberfest. All righty. You know, I did this last month. People loved it. It's hard though because these deals go really, really quick. So, I cannot promise you that this will still be on pinside even after I post this, but I did look it up today. It was still there. For sale right now is a 1979 Williams Flash. Uh, it's in Colts Neck Colts Neck, New Jersey for 850. Sounds like there could be possibly some board work that needs to be done, but the playfield appears to be in really good condition. And considering it's a 47y old game, that is good news. Great games average right now for this one around 15 $1,500 on the secondary market. So, it could be a great addition to your game room or stepping stone towards your next project. And the thing that stands out about this game is Flash was one of the first solid state games for Williams. So, there you go. Good luck. Gobble it up if it hasn't been gobbled up gobbled up already. If you could do me a favor, if you made it to the end of this video, like, subscribe, leave a comment, and hype the video. It's a new YouTube feature that if you hype the video, it will push us out in the algorithm to other people. I would greatly appreciate it. I'll see you next month.

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*Exported from Journalist Tool on 2026-08-04 | Item ID: bc168471-cef9-4fda-93ef-7375f4bebfa1*