Saturday Morning Spectacular, May 18

TL;DR

Kaneda argues John Wick is a dead-on-arrival flop due to Stern's greed, destroyed FOMO, and theme mismatch.

Summary

Key Claims

• Stern made 1,000 John Wick LEs when they only made 800 Star Wars LEs, signaling arrogance and misread demand

  high confidence · Kaneda, Saturday Morning Spectacular, May 18 — directly compares production numbers

• John Wick is boring to watch and lacks personality because the IP doesn't translate to pinball (it's a numb, screen-heavy experience)

  high confidence · Kaneda's extended critique of theme fit and gameplay experience

• Stern destroyed their own FOMO by killing limited edition exclusivity and doubling production volumes while raising prices

  high confidence · Kaneda's central thesis throughout episode; compares to Hunt for Red October submarine firing on itself

• John Wick LEs will be available for ~$9,000 in October (down from $13,000 MAP), indicating current oversupply

  medium confidence · Kaneda's prediction based on historical dealer inventory patterns

• Stern's next release will be Metallica Vault Edition with Raymond Davidson porting original Lyman Sheets code to an LCD screen

  medium confidence · Kaneda citing 'a friend of the show, Ken Trox' and unspecified source ('from what I'm hearing')

• Stern premium pricing has risen to ~$9,500 (from $7,500 baseline mentioned as historical pricing)

  medium confidence · Kaneda's conversation with Ken Trox about Metallica Premium resale value

• Seth Davis brought in expansion/new audience strategy that prioritized volume and price increases over traditional FOMO model

  medium confidence · Kaneda attributing strategy shift to specific Stern leadership decision

• John Wick Pro's underside is mechanically simple and cheaply built compared to Pirates of the Caribbean, Hobbit, AC/DC, Metallica

  medium confidence · Kaneda citing Fliptronics photo and personal inspection; subjective assessment of build quality

• Kaneda's Patreon has 707 paying subscribers and is more monetized than 'all them combined' (other pinball content creators)

Notable Quotes

• “This is the most humbling moment I've ever seen, maybe in the history of Stern, because back in the day when like WWE came out and nobody bought it, Stern did not scramble like this.”

  Kaneda @ early segment — Sets up core argument that John Wick represents unprecedented market failure and panic from Stern

• “You are arrogant. For the longest time Stern, for like ten years, you had it perfect, right? You have the FOMO, you made 500 LEs, they sold out in one day.”

  Kaneda @ mid-episode — Articulates the FOMO-destruction thesis and contrasts past success with current failure

• “FOMO is the fuel that has driven Stern Pinball for the longest time. And what an idiotic move it was to destroy their own FOMO.”

  Kaneda @ early-mid segment — Core diagnosis of Stern's strategic error

• “And now Stern Pinball's new thing, it's a world on the screen. And that is why John Wick is not selling, because we're not stupid, and we're looking at the game, and we're not seeing a world under glass.”

  Kaneda @ mid-episode — Connects design philosophy shift to market failure; invokes classic Stern messaging

• “I have one question for Stern Pinball. How do you wake up and have balls big enough to charge $2,000 for a Foo Fighters topper?”

  Kaneda @ late-episode — Explains why he refuses to interview Stern; encapsulates pricing criticism

• “If you buy a John Wick LE, you're an idiot. And you know why I would say that you're an idiot? It's the same way I would tell my friend, if you stick your hand in the fire, you're an idiot.”

  Kaneda @ late-episode — Directly dismisses purchasing at MAP; positions market loss as inevitable

• “Every once in a while they'll pop in here, but they got nothing to say. They got nothing to say. They got nothing to say. They're afraid to talk to me.”

  Kaneda @ late-episode — Reflects on his competitive advantage as only unsponsored voice; indicates isolation of other creators

Entities

Signals

• ?

  product_concern: John Wick LE extensively critiqued as unsellable at MAP ($13,000), with prediction of rapid price collapse to ~$9,000 within months. Kaneda characterizes as unprecedented market failure for Stern.

  high · Extended rant on boring theme, lack of playfield magic, oversupply (1,000 LEs), and streaming evidence of poor audience reception

• ?

  product_strategy: Stern's shift from 500-LE model (sell-out in 1 day) to 1,000+ LE production combined with price increases ($13,000 vs historical $10,000) represents deliberate destruction of scarcity-driven demand.

  high · Kaneda's core thesis; comparison to historical Star Wars (800 LEs) and other titles; explicit connection to Seth Davis expansion strategy

• ?

  pricing_signal: John Wick LE projected to sell below MAP by October (~$9,000 vs $13,000 current), indicating market rejection and oversupply.

  medium · Kaneda's prediction based on dealer inventory and historical secondary market patterns; anecdote of distributors sitting on inventory

• ?

  design_philosophy: John Wick epitomizes Stern's shift from 'world under glass' (mechanical playfield focus) to 'world on the screen' (video/code-heavy), which Kaneda argues fails to engage players or collectors.

  high · Extended critique of 50 minutes of movie clips vs minimal playfield action; comparison to Funhouse, Pirates of Caribbean, AC/DC, Metallica as superior playfield experiences

• ?

  rumor_hype: Metallica Vault Edition rumored as next Stern release, with Raymond Davidson porting Lyman Sheets original code to LCD screen. Uncertain timeline and spec details.