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Joe Kamakau's Facebook post alleging JJP secured Harry Potter license sparks community frenzy and market uncertainty.
Joe Kamakau posted on Facebook that Jersey Jack Pinball has secured the license for Harry Potter pinball
high confidence · Joel describes the post being made and later screenshotted; the post was subsequently deleted
Joe Kamakau has been heavily involved in securing boutique pinball licenses for Stern, including Batman 66 and Beatles
high confidence · Joel provides background on Kamakau's licensing history with Stern
JK Rowling has expressed opposition to Harry Potter pinball machines in the past
medium confidence · Joel mentions this as context for why Harry Potter licensing has been uncertain, though the specific incident is not detailed
The Harry Potter post announcement has caused distributors and consumers to freeze spending pending more information
high confidence · Travis reports receiving 25+ messages about it and notes calls from dealers; discusses frozen money in the market
Jersey Jack Pinball prices are typically $12,500 for Limited Edition and $15,000+ for Collector's Edition
high confidence · Travis cites these as baseline JJP pricing models during discussion of potential Harry Potter cost
Joe Kamakau responded to comments on the post, suggesting the account was not hacked
high confidence · Joel notes that Kamakau responded to multiple comments and his wife's account was connected, making a hack unlikely
The photoshopped Harry Potter machine image was likely created by Jack Danger years ago
medium confidence · Tom observes the image posted was in a Stern cabinet and notes Jack Danger's history of photoshopping dream themes
Beatles was one of the most expensive pinball licenses Stern has ever paid for
medium confidence · Joel references this as context for potential Harry Potter pricing, noting it was reflected in the game's price
“Jersey Jack has secured the license for Harry Potter for pinball. No waiting, no speculation. They locked it in.”
Joe Kamakau (via Joel's paraphrase)@ 11:10 — The exact claim made in the now-deleted Facebook post that triggered the entire discussion
“Harry Potter is like the number one in-demand theme from everybody in the pinball industry that people want to see”
Travis Murie@ 14:21 — Establishes why this announcement has such massive market impact
“What's going to happen is there's going to be a lot of people that collect pinball machines that are going to read that... it's going to freeze up a lot of money in the industry”
Travis Murie@ 14:02 — Identifies the immediate business consequence of the announcement
“I have no less than 25 plus messages just about this from different people”
Travis Murie@ 13:50 — Demonstrates the rapid viral spread and community engagement level
“I don't see how this hurts JJP at all I feel like it raises their profile”
Travis Murie@ 18:36 — Offers counterpoint to speculation that the announcement damages JJP's standing
“I would not put all movies in the same pin if they could do it I would split it up into a Trilogy or something with more than one pin”
Tom Graff@ 24:15 — Speculates on how multiple Harry Potter games could be designed as a series
leak_detection: Joe Kamakau posted unconfirmed claim that Jersey Jack Pinball has secured Harry Potter pinball license; post was deleted but widely screenshotted and shared across community forums and podcasts
high · Joel describes the post as 'a very bold statement' with picture of Harry Potter machine in Stern cabinet; the post has since been removed but captured in screenshots shared on Pinball Enthusiasts, Pinside, and other platforms
market_signal: Announcement has frozen consumer spending as buyers await more information on Harry Potter release timeline and pricing; dealers report increased inquiry volume
high · Travis reports 25+ messages within hours; dealers receiving calls despite not selling JJP products; concerns about Q2-Q3 sales impact; speculation about pre-order lists that may already be full
sentiment_shift: Community split between those celebrating JJP securing the license versus those wishing Stern had obtained it; debate over which manufacturer would design it better
high · Joel describes 'JJP verse Stern Fanboys arguing who would have done a better job with the code' similar to Godzilla debates between Spooky and Stern
product_strategy: Hosts predict Harry Potter will command significantly higher pricing than typical JJP games due to license cost, with estimates ranging from $18,500-$20,000+ for Collector's Edition
medium · Travis: 'lowest the low end version of JJP game is 12-5...price of that game is going to reflect the price of the license'; Tom: 'I don't see it being any lower than 18.5 and I could see it easily being 20,000 per CE'
mixed(0.55)— The hosts are excited about the Harry Potter news and its implications for the industry, but tempered with concerns about market disruption, pricing uncertainty, and debate over whether JJP or Stern would have been better stewards of the license. Underlying tone is cautiously optimistic with healthy skepticism about the post's authenticity and timing.
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“I asked my wife I said if you could have any theme in pinball... without hesitation Harry Potter”
Joel@ 25:04 — Illustrates the universal appeal and demand for Harry Potter theme
“I don't think so the lowest end version of JJP game is 12-5 you know I'm telling you right now I if unless JJP is just not planning on making money there's a good chance the price of that game is going to reflect the price of the license”
Travis Murie@ 25:57 — Predicts significantly higher-than-normal pricing due to license cost
“I don't see it being any lower than 18.5 and I could see it easily being 20,000 per CE and it would sell out”
Tom Graff@ 26:38 — Estimates potential Collector's Edition pricing range
“Let's all root behind JJP to make the best possible Harry Potter pin period so that we can all enjoy it in some manner”
Joel@ 29:24 — Shifts tone toward unity and support for the announced title
industry_signal: Joe Kamakau's post and subsequent behavior raises questions about motivations, potential conflicts of interest given his long relationship with Stern, and whether this was ego-driven, sabotage, or legitimate announcement
high · Hosts speculate multiple theories: ego, anger at Stern direction, sabotage of JJP, or drunk posting; unusual that he would help competitor while close friend with Stern leadership
community_signal: Single Facebook post rapidly disseminated across pinball community through podcasts, YouTube channels, forums, and social media; multiple content creators covering the story
high · Joel describes post being screenshotted and shared on Pinball Enthusiasts, Pinside; Jason Knapp with Nap Arcade posted it; Zach Minnie with Pinball Show released content on it; mentioned on multiple podcasts within 24 hours
product_concern: Significant uncertainty about scope of Harry Potter license including which movies/books covered, whether new HBO Max series included, art source material, and whether license allows multiple machines
medium · Tom raises questions: 'which movie are they gonna pick... if it's the new HBO Max mini series... are we going to be pulling video game assets from the latest Hogwarts game... could do it I would split it up into a Trilogy'
rumor_hype: Community speculation that distributor CE pre-order lists for Harry Potter may already be sold out despite game not yet announced officially
low · Joel reads Facebook comments: 'I've been on a distributor's speculation list for six years for Harry Potter high-end model...they may already be sold out which is kind of crazy'
personnel_signal: Discussion of which of four JJP designers (Eric Minyar, Steve Ritchie, Pat Lawler, or Mark) should/will design Harry Potter; Eric Minyar and Steve Ritchie mentioned as most likely candidates
low · Joel asks 'is there any chance that this is the next game coming out I would be very surprised I don't think so'; hosts express preferences for Eric Minyar due to JJP platform experience and proven designs
manufacturing_signal: Significant uncertainty about Harry Potter release timeline, with hosts speculating 3-5 year wait possible; context that JJP currently working on Godfather CEs with delayed shipments
medium · Travis: 'the problem is it's not so much that and this could be three four or five years from now yeah we have no idea'; Tom notes Godfather CE shipments 'keeps getting pushed back'
content_signal: Multiple pinball podcasts and content creators rapidly covering Harry Potter announcement including Triple Drain, Pinball Show, Nap Arcade, and multiple social platforms
high · Joel documents rapid spread: 'Zach Minnie with the pinball show just put out like a mini episode... Jason Knapp with nap arcade got a hold of that he's posted it... it's created quite a discussion not only on Facebook but also on pinside'
licensing_signal: Beatles license cited as historically expensive pinball license, reflected in game pricing; context that JK Rowling previously expressed opposition to Harry Potter pinball machines
medium · Joel: 'when Stern got the license for Beatles they said it was one of the most expensive license I think it was the most expensive pinball license they've ever paid for'; 'JK Rawlings...for whatever reason has had it out against pinball'