claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 · $0.042
Don explores pinball positivity, WWE WrestleMania rediscovery, and rumored 2024 releases across manufacturers.
WWE WrestleMania LE (2015 Spike 1) had MSRP of $6,000 new, adjusted to $7,950 in today's money (inflation-adjusted), and Don purchased a barely-played copy for around $6,000 on secondary market
high confidence · Don recounted purchase history and pricing from Pinside forums circa 2015 release
Stern's next Cornerstone may be releasing in August (next month) rather than October as previously speculated, possibly due to Metallica Spike 3 not being ready
medium confidence · Don received rumor update 'just earlier today' and speculates on release timing flip-flop based on John Wick sales performance
The rumored next Stern Cornerstone theme is X-Men (possibly X-Men 97), with timing aligned to Deadpool & Wolverine movie box office momentum
medium confidence · Don cites 'X-Men is what we're hearing as far as the theme' but notes uncertainty whether it's X-Men 97 or a codename
Jersey Jack Pinball's Avatar rumor has been strengthening with each new piece of information, following the pattern that consistency in rumors typically indicates validity
medium confidence · Don notes 'every time I hear something else about it it seems just a little bit more stronger' and 'as rumors come out as information comes out the more and more I hear about it'
Spooky Pinball intentionally throws out red herrings and false leads about upcoming titles (Bug wearing different themed shirts), making it impossible to know with certainty what's coming next
medium confidence · Don observes 'Spooky... they've put out enough false leads that I don't think there's any way to know for certain what's coming out next'
Stern's August production schedule includes final runs of Rush Pro/Premium, Mandalorian Pro/Premium, Bond Pro, and John Wick Pro, with no new Premium John Wick models
high confidence · Don cites Naps Arcade reporting and credits Jeff from Mad Pinball for bringing the production schedule information
Used Rush Pro machines are selling $5,500-$7,000 (near MSRP), and Premiums average $8,500, creating pricing pressure for new in-box sales
medium confidence · Don analyzed secondary market pricing data for Rush machines available 'right now'
“I like chaotic positivity in pinball, right? You know, I don't want to cheerlead every single decision that's made. Oh, great, here's another $3,000 topper. That's fantastic.”
Don @ ~06:45 — Establishes Don's nuanced philosophy on community positivity and critical honesty, rejecting blind cheerleading while maintaining enthusiasm
“You know, if you feel like you need to purchase every new product that comes out from a company, and then if it's not up to your standards, then you get mad about it. You know, it's like you don't have to buy it, right?”
Don @ ~08:30 — Core argument about consumer responsibility and addressing toxic behavior in pinball community over purchasing decisions
“It's Stern's first LCD screen in a pinball, right? It's like the Jumbotron back there. So it was, like, super fun.”
Don @ ~22:15 — Identifies WWE WrestleMania as landmark in Stern pinball history for first integrated LCD screen feature
“The game is just a shoot up the middle fest. It just seems like Man this thing just wasn't firing on every cylinder.”
Don @ ~73:20 — Candid criticism of Mandalorian pinball's gameplay design despite appreciating its theme and aesthetics
“It's like when I was looking at buying trucks... the reviews online were like this pickup, it's a good truck, this Nissan Titan. It's just that your neighbor probably has a better truck, and that was the F-150 or the Chevy Silverado.”
Don @ ~76:45 — Analogy explaining why Mandalorian isn't compelling despite being decent—better options exist, positioning it as mid-tier rather than bad
“So, you know, excuse me if I get lost in my fantasies about Golden Girls pinball. I think it's really the theme that we were all asking for.”
Don @ ~45:30 — Comedic tangent speculating about X-Men Cornerstone rumors, demonstrating community playfulness around theme speculation
“If any game was screaming for UV integration, I think this would be it. Imagine going into a dark forest mode where everything is just UV illuminated and bioluminescent.”
business_signal: Stern August production schedule shows conservative reruns (Rush, Mandalorian, Bond, Wick Pros) with no new Premium John Wick, suggesting measured demand expectations
high · Don cites Naps Arcade reporting of Stern schedule with credits to Jeff/Mad Pinball; notes lack of Premium Wick: 'which kind of that makes sense to me. WIC pros sitting around MSRP slightly less maybe'
community_signal: John Wick Comic-Con contract system design flaw: 7 units sold out in 1 hour; ultra-limited quantities make cheat-via-glass-removal unenforceable and undetectable
high · Don critiques: 'I saw it about an hour after it had come up and they were already gone... if I was at home with my John Wick... I could easily just take the glass off, cheat... and then look at me, I've got all the badges. Like, nobody would ever know'
community_signal: Spooky Pinball moving production facility between now and March 2024; new game expected post-move; intentional mystery/surprise strategy replacing transparency
medium · Don: 'they're moving to their new production facility at some point between now and March. We'll probably see a new game from them and I for one just want to be surprised'
competitive_signal: Stern timing X-Men Cornerstone to capitalize on Deadpool & Wolverine theatrical momentum; Marvel license availability window creating release window opportunity
medium · Don speculates: 'I know for sure in the movie theater right now, Deadpool and Wolverine are killing it... if this is X-Men related I think the time to put this out in front of people at arcades to play games right now is a heck of a good time'
groq_whisper · $0.185
Used Mandalorian Premium machines are trading at $6,500-$7,000 (same as or cheaper than new Pro MSRP), making the new Premium rerun economically questionable
medium confidence · Don compared secondary market pricing to retail strategy and questioned market viability
John Wick had Comic-Con exclusive contracts with only 7 available that sold out within an hour, creating a problematic dynamic where players could cheat via glass removal undetectably
medium confidence · Don critiqued the contract release strategy: 'they were already gone' and noted glass removal cheating vulnerability
American Pinball's Cuphead is scheduled for Chicago Expo (70+ days away) with very limited gameplay information available (phone-tag level hearsay only)
low confidence · Don expresses skepticism about secondhand game information and inability to verify Cuphead quality
Don @ ~52:15 — Design vision for Avatar pinball emphasizing aesthetic spectacle over narrative, predicting Jersey Jack's thematic approach
“I would say Like why would you even bother buying a new Unboxed Premium... why would you Buy a Premium Mandalorian At all because the tilting Upper playfield thing is just kind of weird”
Don @ ~72:30 — Articulates market skepticism about Mandalorian Premium rerun given secondary market pricing and gameplay concerns
“I saw it about an hour after it had come up and they were already gone. You know, if I was at home with my John Wick and I saw that there was only seven available, I could easily just take the glass off, cheat, get the badge, and then look at me, I've got all the badges.”
Don @ ~89:00 — Critiques Stern's contract system as unenforceable with ultra-limited quantities, exposing design flaw vulnerable to cheating
design_philosophy: Mandalorian pinball criticized for limited mechanical impact (tilting helmet doesn't meaningfully enhance gameplay) and design imbalance (topper is 1/3 cost of game)
high · Don: 'the tilting Upper playfield thing is just kind of weird' and 'the topper is a third of the cost of the game' and 'just kind of goes dark and then you're focused'
market_signal: Spooky Pinball deliberately deploying red herrings (Bug's themed T-shirts) to obscure upcoming title reveal, creating community intrigue but hindering pre-order momentum
medium · Don observes: 'they threw out so many red herrings' and 'they've put out enough false leads that I don't think there's any way to know for certain what's coming out next'
leak_detection: Jersey Jack Pinball Avatar rumor strengthening with consistent information across multiple sources over time, following pattern that suggests validity
medium · Don notes pattern: 'every time I hear something else about it it seems just a little bit more stronger... as rumors come out as information comes out the more and more I hear about it if it stays consistent like this that's probably what it is'
market_signal: Used pinball prices stabilizing near MSRP for recent releases (Rush $5.5-7k, Mandalorian Premium $6.5-7k = Pro MSRP), creating retail sales friction
high · Don detailed secondary market pricing data and questioned viability of new in-box sales: 'if you can go and pick up a modded Premium like right this minute for the same price as a new unboxed Pro I would say like why would you even bother'
product_concern: Mandalorian pinball marketed heavily on cosmetic Grogu doll and Foundry topper despite minimal gameplay innovation; static doll and tilting helmet not delivering on mechanical expectations
high · Don: 'Grogu doesn't do anything... was screaming for a magnet mech' and 'tilting thing doesn't do a whole ton for me' and criticizes 'shoot up the middle fest' core gameplay
rumor_hype: Stern Cornerstone release acceleration: rumored shift from October to August (within 2-3 days per latest update), possibly due to Metallica Spike 3 unreadiness
medium · Don received 'rumor update about Stern just earlier today' and speculates timing flip-flop based on John Wick underperformance forecasting
sentiment_shift: WWE WrestleMania (2015) experiencing community reevaluation from derided to appreciated, driven by influencer enthusiasm (Retro Jingo) and secondary market availability at MSRP
high · Don notes game 'gets derided so much' historically but now 'people are starting to take another look at this game' and 'every podcast of the last couple weeks mentioned Wrestlemania'