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Kaneda discusses June releases, manufacturer pipelines, and consumer resistance to premium pricing.
Harry Potter is coming out in June 2025
high confidence · Kaneda states 'any guesses that Harry Potter's coming out in June are good ones' based on timeline discussion
Evil Dead is the current game of the year
high confidence · Kaneda: 'right now, as of today, it's the game of the year. And Spooky deserves a lot of credit.'
King Kong Premium will lose $2,000-3,000 in resale value, Pro will lose $1,500
high confidence · Kaneda: 'The Premium is going to lose 2 to 3,000. The Pro is going to lose 1,500.'
Predator release date is expected to be June 12th, 1987 (movie anniversary)
medium confidence · Kaneda: 'I think the fact that the marketing has turned on again leads me to believe that June 12th will be the date we get Predator. June 12th, 1987 was the day the movie came out.'
Spooky's next two games after Evil Dead will be Beetlejuice and then Gremlins
medium confidence · Kaneda reports hearing from 'a very trusted source who knows people over there' that 'Spooky's next two will be Beetlejuice and then Gremlins'
Jersey Jack may limit Harry Potter Collector's Edition to 1,000 units
medium confidence · Kaneda discusses rumors about CE production numbers: 'One of the rumors I've been reading lately... that they are going to limit the Collector's Editions to a thousand'
Tariffs will negatively impact overseas pinball sales to North America
high confidence · Kaneda: 'The tariffs will absolutely destroy the new-in-box sales from overseas for... all these companies that need to ship games from Europe to America'
King Kong is not selling well; LE inventory remains available
high confidence · Kaneda: 'the amount of Kong still available is comical... King Kong Elite not sold out... This game is not selling that well'
300-500 collectors who previously bought everything are now sitting on sidelines
“I don't think we're going to see a lot of complex mechs. I don't think we're going to see a ton under that playfield. So, time will tell, but if Jersey Jack needs to crank these things out every week, I think you're going to see a game that's more Guns N' Roses and less Pirates of the Caribbean.”
Kaneda @ early in stream — Expresses concern about Jersey Jack's approach to Harry Potter design, prioritizing volume over complexity
“two opposing things can be true at the same time: that King Kong can be a great game that's also going to lose so much value.”
Kaneda @ mid-stream — Core argument about market reality: gameplay quality doesn't guarantee investment value
“if you don't make half a million a year family income, you should not be spending $15,000 a year on a pinball machine.”
Kaneda @ early-mid stream — Prescriptive statement about who should be buying new-in-box machines at current prices
“there's a real pushback against Stern happening with the new-in-box buyer community, and these people are now—they're just over it. They're over getting burned.”
Kaneda @ mid-stream — Identifies consumer sentiment shift away from Stern due to repeated poor secondary market performance
“I believe this is the first game he ever made in the history of his career as a designer in which he loves the theme, in which he feels a personal connection to the theme.”
Kaneda @ discussing Jersey Jack/Harry Potter — Key insight about Eric's (likely Eric Meunier) Harry Potter design approach and personal investment
“Spooky's next two games are going to be harder to get than a Stern Elite, than a JJPCE.”
Kaneda @ Spooky section — Market prediction about relative availability and demand tier
“It is a—it saved Dutch Pinball. It's amazing to me that people don't realize that is really the real impact of Alice's Adventures in Wonderland.”
Kaneda @ Alice discussion — Frames Alice's true strategic value as bridging game for Dutch Pinball survival
business_signal: Dutch Pinball's financial crisis averted by Alice's Adventures in Wonderland bridging game
high · Kaneda: 'Alice is really the real impact... It saved Dutch Pinball... they would have gone out of business because there would be nothing to make for a year'
competitive_signal: Spooky Pinball positioned as harder to acquire than Stern Elite or JJP Collector's Edition
medium · Kaneda: 'I think Spooky's next two games are going to be harder to get than a Stern Elite, than a JJPCE'
product_concern: Tariffs pose significant threat to overseas manufacturer profitability and North American sales
high · Kaneda: 'The tariffs will absolutely destroy the new-in-box sales from overseas for all these companies that need to ship games from Europe to America'
licensing_signal: Back to the Future pinball license retained by Dutch Pinball; rejected offers from Stern and JJP
medium · Kaneda: 'Both Jersey Jack and Stern were very interested in trying to acquire the license and Barry just wanted more money than they offered'
market_signal: 300-500 major collectors have withdrawn from new-in-box purchases due to repeated value loss
medium · Kaneda: 'I think there's probably like a good 3 to 500 dudes that used to go in on everything that are now sitting on the sidelines'
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medium confidence · Kaneda: 'I think there's probably like a good 3 to 500 dudes that used to go in on everything that are now sitting on the sidelines'
“I expect a really interesting Back to the Future game... I just feel like Stern would have just ended up lookin' like Stern would have just, I think Stern Back to the Future would have just ended up looking [incomplete]”
Kaneda @ Dutch Pinball Back to the Future discussion — Suggests Dutch Pinball will deliver more interesting design than Stern would have
“this is like—it used to feel special to get an LE. It doesn't feel that way anymore.”
Kaneda @ mid-stream — Core sentiment about diminished collector appeal of limited editions
“The whole thing has turned into like you can't—you can't scalp anymore. Everyone's crying like babies.”
Kaneda @ speculation section — Commentary on community gatekeeping of secondary market flipping
market_signal: Significant price depreciation predicted for King Kong models ($2-3k Premium loss, $1.5k Pro loss)
high · Kaneda directly states depreciation amounts based on market conditions and unsold inventory
personnel_signal: Jersey Jack's Eric (likely Eric Meunier) making Harry Potter his first theme-driven design after assignment-based work
medium · Kaneda speculates Eric had personal connection to Harry Potter unlike Guns N' Roses, Pirates, Godfather, Elton John
market_signal: Guns N' Roses inventory showing $5,000 secondary market pricing; massive overstock
high · Kaneda notes 'There's so many of them' and they're 'about to be a $5,000 game'
announcement: Harry Potter Pinball expected June 2025 release from Jersey Jack Pinball
high · Kaneda states 'any guesses that Harry Potter's coming out in June are good ones' based on timeline context
product_concern: King Kong mechanical design criticized; early owners require custom bracket modifications
high · Kaneda notes 'some dude's got to manufacture his own bracket' and 'Stern's letting the initial owners have to develop mods to fix the things that should have been fixed at the factory'
rumor_hype: Spooky Pinball's next two games rumored to be Beetlejuice followed by Gremlins
medium · Kaneda reports 'from a very trusted source who knows people over there' that games are Beetlejuice and Gremlins with possible holiday release timing
business_signal: Stern attempting to restore FOMO through production scarcity on Metallica LE (500 units)
medium · Kaneda's earlier discussion of Metallica LE scarcity strategy in relation to John Wick/Venom LE failures