claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 · $0.036
Detailed 2026 pinball predictions across manufacturers, themes, designers, and competitive positioning.
Pokémon is coming next from Stern, followed by Transformers
high confidence · Hosts discussing Stern's pipeline; described as likely based on pattern and licensing strategy.
Pokémon home edition will release at Costco
high confidence · Hosts express strong confidence this will happen; aligned with Stern's Costco distribution strategy.
Fallout is the fall 2026 Stern release
high confidence · Host states 'nobody's refuted it at this point' and Stern rumors are usually accurate; tied to Amazon series release timing.
KISS remaster is the next Stern remaster, not AC/DC
high confidence · Host predicts KISS based on Stern's Facebook teaser about 2016 games (Batman 66, Ghostbusters); cites both hosts agreeing on likelihood.
Jersey Jack Sonic will outsell Elton John and likely several Stern cornerstones
medium confidence · Host prediction that Sonic benefits from video game license hunger; expects it to outsell Fallout and possibly Pokémon variants.
2026 is the 'year of the video game' with Nintendo vs. Sega console war parallel (Stern/Pokémon vs. JJP/Sonic)
medium confidence · Host develops theme comparing Stern as Nintendo, JJP as Sega; notes content creation opportunity; co-host agrees it will drive excitement.
Pinball Brothers will cease making new machines in 2026
medium confidence · Host prediction based on tariff impact, quality reputation, and licensing track record since Aliens.
Steve Richie (Chicago Gaming) will design his last game in 2026
medium confidence · Host predicts Richie will do one more modern pinball design as swan song, contrasting with brother Mark's return via Play Mechanics collab.
Barrels of Fun will announce a designer in 2026, likely not Carl Balthazar on lead design
medium confidence · Host predicts new designer announcement; suggests Balthazar contributing but not leading, expecting reveal by end of year or expo.
“They were like, look, we're going to also be doing a home model of Costco. It probably matches better to that IP holder's product offerings anyway. They might have been more excited about that than they were the coin op option, frankly.”
Host (Dennis or co-host) @ N/A — Explains Stern's rationale for licensing Pokémon—dual monetization strategy with home edition at Costco may have been as important to negotiation as arcade version.
“And, oh, by the way, if the rumors are true, Stern is the Nintendo, and they do have the Pokémon. JJP is the Sega, this up-and-comer who surprises with this new console, and they may have Sonic all in the same year coming out. This writes itself.”
Host (likely Zach) @ N/A — Core framing of 2026 as Nintendo vs. Sega console war analog; positions industry narrative for content creation and competitive excitement.
“It sells better than every JJP except Potter, Guns N' Roses, and Wizard of Oz. Okay. So from their perspective, I would say yes, a success.”
Dennis or co-host (discussing Sonic) @ N/A — Qualified prediction on Sonic sales; positions it as strong performer but not tier-1 success like Potter or GNR.
“There is somebody, I won't name who, in our company that doesn't think it's going to be a good seller. They also don't think Pokémon's going to translate if it is Pokémon. They're wrong. They're wrong.”
Host (Dennis) @ N/A — Signals internal disagreement at host's company about Pokémon and Sonic viability; shows confidence in video game IP thesis despite skepticism.
“The only thing I have with KISS is that it breaks what they've been doing. Granted, we've had a whole two of let's take advantage of Lyman games. But it still leans into John Borg.”
Co-host @ N/A — Suggests KISS remaster may rely on John Borg's original design rather than original designer structure; notes pattern break from recent remasters.
“I think because he wanted to do that with Pulp Fiction, didn't get to because he got Tarantino'd. So I think he's going to be like, damn it. I'm just as good as a designer as my brother.”
Host (likely Zach) — Explains Mark Richie's motivation for Chicago Gaming collab in 2026; suggests design control limitations on prior projects.
announcement: Pokémon, Transformers, and Fallout confirmed/strongly predicted as Stern 2026 releases
high · Hosts state 'nobody's refuted' Fallout; Pokémon and Transformers treated as accepted pipeline facts based on pattern and insider knowledge.
product_strategy: Stern executing Costco home edition strategy, with Pokémon home edition predicted for 2026
high · Hosts note pattern and licensing rationale; alignment with prior Jurassic Park, Star Wars, Pokémon home strategies.
machine_intel: KISS remaster likely 2026 announcement based on Stern's Batman 66/Ghostbusters teaser on Facebook
high · Host notes Stern's teaser post about 2016 games and current teasing patterns; both hosts converge on KISS prediction.
competitive_signal: 2026 framed as Nintendo vs. Sega console war analog: Stern (Pokemon/Nintendo) vs. JJP (Sonic/Sega)
medium · Hosts develop narrative theme; content creation opportunity noted; JBS show credited for validation.
market_signal: Significant video game IP licensing trend across manufacturers in 2026 (Pokémon, Sonic, Fallout, potential Halo/Resident Evil)
high · Hosts emphasize 'year of the video game' thesis; multiple sources validate (JBS show, industry rumblings); attributed to unsatisfied market hunger.
groq_whisper · $0.090
Home Pin will cease pinball machine production but continue parts business
low confidence · Speculative prediction; host suggests 'smoldering fire' continues but production stops; cites quality concerns and lack of passion.
“I don't think there's room for another – especially if American Pinball is going to rise up like a phoenix. That's not really the Phoenix sound, but we're going to use it.”
Host @ N/A — Questions viability of Pinball Brothers given market saturation and American Pinball's potential resurgence under new ownership.
“I'm just saying they're not known for great build quality. And every license they've done since Aliens has been either a miss of a license or Queen, which was a miss of a game.”
Host @ N/A — Critiques Pinball Brothers' track record post-Aliens; suggests quality and licensing choices contributed to market struggles.
“I think there's a part of them because I don't I mean, I don't know that either of them. But if it was me, like, I like the idea of people actually owning my games like in volume. I would want to be with a bigger player.”
Host @ N/A — Speculates on why top designers (Elwin, Meunier) stay with major manufacturers; implies volume and brand prestige matter.
“It would be for the best. I swear he builds them out of spite now because he clearly doesn't love it.”
Host @ N/A — Harsh assessment of Home Pin's founder's motivation; suggests personal friction or burnout driving continued production.
rumor_hype: Speculation on designer availability and American Pinball's next designer (mentions Keith Elwin, homebrew designers, potential seasoned talent)
low · Host quoting American Pinball's willingness to recruit external talent; discussion remains speculative with multiple options floated.
sentiment_shift: Negative sentiment toward Pinball Brothers' future; prediction of 2026 production cessation
medium · Hosts cite tariff impact (15% premium), post-Aliens licensing failures, quality reputation, market saturation; convergence on viability concerns.
personnel_signal: Steve Richie predicted to design final game in 2026; Mark Richie collab with Play Mechanics for modern design anticipated
medium · Host predicts Steve's swan song; references Pulp Fiction design control issues motivating Mark's return; mentions budget/vision as factors.
business_signal: Concerns about manufacturer market saturation; prediction of 2-4 new manufacturers and at least one closure in 2026
medium · Hosts discuss crowded space; Pinball Brothers named for closure; Home Pin production stop predicted; American Pinball resurgence positioning.
rumor_hype: Rumors of Halo (Chicago Gaming/Play Mechanics), Resident Evil (unnamed manufacturer), and other video game IPs in development
low · Hosts mention hearing rumors; Halo described as 'head-scratchy theme'; Play Mechanics holds license; unconfirmed sourcing.
design_philosophy: KISS remaster may lean on John Borg's original design rather than pure remake approach; pattern discussion of Stern remasters
medium · Hosts discuss KISS breaking pattern of recent remasters; note Borg's original design influence and Lyman assist.
industry_signal: Tariff implications (15% premium on overseas manufacturers) affecting Pinball Brothers and international competition
medium · Hosts cite tariff burden on international companies; referenced as factor in Pinball Brothers' market struggles.