claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 · $0.042
Spooky's next game on track for November sellout hype; Star Wars and other major releases in flux.
Evil Dead production at 350-400 units, approaching midpoint in August, targeting completion by January 2025
high confidence · Direct conversation with Spooky Pinball staff (Bug and Luke) during two-hour interview
Spooky is producing 20-25 units per week, recently exceeding previous standards
high confidence · Direct conversation with Spooky Pinball during interview
Evil Dead is trading/reselling at $13,000-$14,000, comparable to Metallica Remastered LE
high confidence · Don's personal market observation and sales activity
Star Wars Home Edition confirmed for Costco via Insider Connected app code update
high confidence · Code update in Insider Connected app revealed the machine
Barry's Barbecue Challenge reveal was 17 months ago; American Pinball has not released a new game since
high confidence · Don checked timeline directly
Barry's Barbecue Challenge is still planned for release but delayed; license holder reportedly wants code-complete game at launch
medium confidence · Official confirmation from American Pinball sales contact; delay reasoning is rumor
Harry Potter Collector's Edition is unlimited by count but limited by time window (cutoff date not yet announced)
high confidence · Jersey Jack Pinball communication; Don speculates on JJP's optimal timing strategy
Spooky's next unannounced game could achieve day-one sellout, a feat not seen since Halloween
medium confidence · Don's speculation based on Evil Dead's sellout pattern and market factors (speculators, order banks open, value appreciation post-sellout)
Star Wars pinball rumored for September 2025 release (Stern's traditional release window matching prior X-Men/Metallica pattern)
medium confidence · Pattern matching from previous years; no official confirmation
“I took that orange and did a purple and really made a contrast with it. So I've been having fun, you know, doing this. Jersey Jack has gone to the moon doing not a powder coat but a gold chrome to their wire forms, which is absolutely, like, the best thing you can do to these things, but it's, like, hundreds of dollars to do that versus, like, 40 bucks.”
Don @ ~8:00 — Discusses powder-coating King Kong wire forms; illustrates cost-benefit of mod choices vs. premium alternatives
“I'm facing one way, and one thing's happening. I'm facing the other way. Like, pinball history is being made around me. What a great show.”
Don @ ~17:30 — Anecdote about Evil Dead sellout coinciding with Harry Potter reveal at Texas Pinball Festival; captures pivotal market moment
“If a Star Wars game comes out, classic trilogy, with another Death Star Mechanism, and learning what they've learned from the past. I'm sure it's not going to be as hard to shoot it up in there. And then if John Borg is doing it, are we just going to see Rush, but instead of the magnet in the center for the time machine, it's going to be a Death Star?”
Don @ ~38:00 — Speculation on potential Star Wars game design; references John Borg as possible designer and compares mechanical design approach to Rush
“How are you going to cram seven movies worth of content into a game? Well, you do it through 30-second modes, and that's good, it's bad, it's whatever. I think that's the only fair way to do it.”
Don @ ~47:30 — Criticism of Harry Potter's rule design approach for fitting multiple films; compares to Mortal Kombat Trilogy's design compromise
“I think Stern is probably going to do a Ghostbusters remaster. That probably won't change the layout or something. Maybe it'll change some of the rules. It would be nice if it had a nice flipper gap, but then you'd have to go through and re-engineer a lot of the ball paths or whatever.”
Don @ ~41:00 — Speculation on Stern's remaster strategy; Don predicts Ghostbusters but doesn't think timing is right yet
“The order banks are all open. I think because of the value proposition, The fact that the game comes out low price, probably, don't tell them I said this, probably a little bit lower than what they could probably get for it, and then the games have gone up in value once they sell out because they keep the numbers low, I think we'll see some speculators come in and pick up a deposit or two or three.”
business_signal: American Pinball's communication vacuum and licensing-driven development delays signal operational challenges; Barry's Barbecue Challenge 17-month delay exceeds Harry Potter's production pace
medium · Don's contact confirms release still planned but no ETA; license holder's code-complete requirement speculation; lack of social media engagement noted as trust issue
business_signal: Jersey Jack Pinball's Harry Potter Collector's Edition positioned as unlimited by count but limited by time; Don speculates JJP will delay cutoff indefinitely to maximize production window
medium · No cutoff date announced; Don's analysis of JJP's optimal business strategy (wait for demand to taper, goose market with 'final call' announcement); potential 17+ months until next JJP release
sentiment_shift: Evil Dead's rapid sellout at Texas Pinball Festival (March) coinciding with Harry Potter reveal triggered 'real MO' (missed opportunity) FOMO among players; speculators now positioning for Spooky's next release
high · Don's eyewitness account of TPF booth activity; players legitimately upset about missing Evil Dead; order banks opening across distributors (Pinball Star, others)
event_signal: Pinball at the Beach February 2026 positioned as first public play venue for Spooky's unannounced November 2025 release; Don predicts ticket sellout in August
medium · Smaller venue format with less congestion than previous years; strong attendance expectations; Don's experience at prior event
leak_detection: Star Wars Home Edition Costco exclusive revealed via Insider Connected app code update before official announcement
groq_whisper · $0.086
Walking Dead Remastered is Stern's likely remake for 2025 Expo, not Ghostbusters or Lord of the Rings
medium confidence · Don's interpretation of Stern's production signals and licensing strategy
Don @ ~20:00 — Analysis of Spooky's pricing strategy and how it attracts speculators; key signal about market dynamics driving potential sellout
“I think the community could absorb a game that's about 80% of the way there, especially if it plays good, which it does. And then we'd be okay with code updates in the future. On the other hand, coming from a company that seems to be not the most engaging right now, they're not on the socials talking to us, it sure would be reassuring to know that your game was already code complete.”
Don @ ~52:30 — Critique of American Pinball's communication and explanation of why code-complete requirement at launch may be counterproductive
“Evil Dead is around 350-400, they're approaching their midpoint probably sometime in August they'll hit the midpoint of production now they have sped up their production as well even meeting or exceeding the standards that they had just a few weeks ago of hitting 20 or 25 a week.”
Don @ ~11:30 — Direct production update from Spooky interview; confirms acceleration and targets
“The first place you'll be able to play it publicly will probably be Pinball at the Beach again in February. I think next month in August is when tickets go on sale. And while I don't know that it completely sold out last year, I think that definitely will sell out this year unless they expand the tickets.”
Don @ ~24:00 — Signals strong demand for Pinball at the Beach 2026 event; positions it as prime venue for Spooky's new game debut
“I haven't heard anything concrete about this. I'll tell you what, though, since we're in the realm of rumors, Death Star Mechanism has my jimmies completely rustled.”
Don @ ~38:00 — Don acknowledges rumor-vs-fact distinction while expressing excitement about potential Death Star mechanic in Star Wars game
high · Code update discovery; Don speculates whether this is conflation with rumored arcade release or separate product confirmation
market_signal: Evil Dead secondary market trading at $13,000-$14,000, matching Metallica Remastered LE; investment game of 2024 despite not purchased as speculation
high · Don's personal sales activity and secondary market observations; Electric Bat Arcade confirmed no reliability issues on location
community_signal: Don's King Kong extensive mod project (powder-coated wire forms, barrel topper) demonstrates designer-level customization interest; streams no-wire-form gameplay variant
high · Two-camera livestream uploaded to YouTube; Don confirms game plays remarkably well mechanically without wire forms; ramp opto triggers still function
market_signal: Three-tier LE/Premium/Pro pricing model driving speculator behavior; Spooky's below-market pricing strategy appears intentional to stimulate demand and post-sellout appreciation
medium · Don's speculation on order bank openings and speculator deposits; comparison to Pulp Fiction LE pre-release deposit trading ($3k for $1k deposits); Spooky games consistently under $10k vs. Stern at $13k+
product_strategy: American Pinball's Barry's Barbecue Challenge delayed 17+ months since reveal; license holder reportedly requires code-complete game at launch before release
medium · Official confirmation from American Pinball sales contact; delay reasoning unconfirmed; Don notes company's lack of social media engagement compounds trust concerns
product_strategy: Spooky Pinball's unannounced game expected November 2025 release; production capacity and pricing strategy align for potential day-one sellout
medium · Don's analysis of Evil Dead's sellout pattern, order banks opening, speculator interest, and value appreciation post-launch; Pinball at the Beach February 2026 positioned as first public play opportunity
rumor_hype: Star Wars pinball rumored for September 2025 Stern release; oscillation between classic trilogy, prequel trilogy, and Death Star mechanic speculation
low · Discord sources ('friends of a friend of a cousin'); Star Wars Home Edition confirmed but potential conflation with arcade release; John Borg rumored as designer
business_signal: Stern maintaining September release + October Expo remake pattern (X-Men Sept 2024 → Metallica remake Oct 2024; Star Wars Sept 2025 → Walking Dead remake Oct 2025 rumored)
medium · Pattern matching across 8-10+ prior releases; Walking Dead Remastered more likely than Ghostbusters or Lord of the Rings remasters; Don speculates licensing and asset constraints push latter remasters to 2026-2027