claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 · $0.034
Kaneda holds Deep Root Pinball accountable for broken Fathom/Centaur timelines and deposit scheme opacity.
Deep Root Pinball promised in July 2023 interviews that all Fathom games would be completed by end of year; as of mid-February 2024, they have not been completed and no public statement was made.
high confidence · Kaneda, opening segment: 'seven months ago in July, every single media outlet gave Deep Root Pinball the stage to talk about Centaur Revisited...he said to every single media outlet that we are on track to finish all of the Fathom games by the end of the year...It is now mid-February. Are they done with the Fathom builds? No, they are not.'
Distributors (specifically Flip N Out Pinball, Nitro, and Red & Ted's Road Show Pinball) were told they would hold Centaur deposits in escrow and not send money to Deep Root Pinball, but the current custody of those funds is unclear.
medium confidence · Kaneda: 'There are people on Pinside who put deposits down with distributors. When they put those deposits down with the distributors, they were told that none of their money was going to Deep Root Pinball, that that deposit money was going to be held in escrow...So then that begs the question, who's holding the money?'
Deep Root Pinball told customers with Fathom orders that delivery would take eight weeks, but actual wait times have exceeded eight months.
high confidence · Kaneda: 'when he's asking people for Fathom money, he tells them you're going to have your game in eight weeks. And people have waited longer than eight months.'
Deep Root Pinball has not conducted any factory walkthrough or transparency demonstration despite other manufacturers regularly doing so.
high confidence · Kaneda: 'Did he bring on more people? How did he create more efficiencies? Has he opened up the door to the company? Has he done a walkthrough like Dutch Pinball did, like Spooky Pinball's done?...January came and went. They didn't open up the door. They didn't show you that Centaur production is happening.'
Centaur is being offered at $10,000 to $17,000 (Oblivion Edition), with Kaneda questioning market demand given the company's track record.
high confidence · Kaneda: 'a game that is $10,000 and $17,000 for the Oblivion Edition...How are you going to sell Centaurs at $10,000 to $17,000 with all the other stuff happening in the pinball world?'
“It is now mid-February. Are they done with the Fathom builds? No, they are not. Did they say they were done with the Fathom builds? No, they have not.”
Kaneda @ ~4:30 — Core accusation establishing Deep Root's failure to meet stated deadline
“If you went in on a Centaur deposit seven months ago, you need to have your head examined.”
Kaneda @ ~7:15 — Blunt criticism of customers who ignored Deep Root's history
“Why can't Deep Root Pinball just be honest? Why does he always have to spin these timelines? Like just tell people I'm going to need your money in full and the wait is going to be six to eight months.”
Kaneda @ ~14:45 — Questions Deep Root's transparency and pattern of misrepresentation
“There's nowhere to hide anymore because that's why the threads are blowing up is because people are just fed up and more people are going to talk and share their stories and share their disappointment.”
Kaneda @ ~24:30 — Notes emerging community backlash on Pinside forums
“If I'm these gentleman and I took someone's money and I still have the money, I would cancel the orders with Deep Root Pinball and give the person his money back.”
Kaneda @ ~18:15 — Recommendation to distributors on how to handle refund requests
“This is probably the last time I'm ever going to talk about Deep Root Pinball because you know how I feel. I think if they continue to do it like this, there is no way they're going to keep the lights on for much longer.”
Kaneda @ ~25:00 — Suggests Deep Root may be facing existential financial challenges
“People actually shipping games to their customers. People paying in full and getting their product within a month. What a novel idea that is.”
Kaneda @ ~27:30 — Sarcastic contrast with other manufacturers' execution
“Everything's a rumor until I see it before my own eyes.”
business_signal: Deep Root Pinball exhibiting signs of potential financial distress; Kaneda predicts company cannot sustain operations if current practices continue
medium · Kaneda: 'I think if they continue to do it like this, there is no way they're going to keep the lights on for much longer and they can't hide anymore'
community_signal: Pinside forum threads about Deep Root Centaur deposits blowing up with upset customers demanding refunds; Kaneda notes these threads are exploding as a result of unmet promises and deposit uncertainty
high · Kaneda: 'So the reason why this thread is blowing up is there are people on Pinside now who are tired of the wait...people are just fed up and more people are going to talk and share their stories'
community_signal: David Van S (Labyrinth) appeared on Saturday Morning Spectacular for unboxing/congratulatory coverage; demonstrates media/community engagement strategy around proper execution
medium · Kaneda: 'David Van S joined our Saturday Morning Spectacular. That was a lot of fun. It was a lot of fun having everybody congratulate him and the company on how to launch properly'
competitive_signal: Competitor manufacturers (Chicago Gaming, Spooky, Dutch Pinball, Labyrinth, American Pinball) positioned as executing superior delivery/transparency; Deep Root isolated as outlier
high · Kaneda: 'Everyone else who's selling new in box games right now has figured out a way to get games made and get them to customers with much more transparency, much more efficiency, and much less headaches'
negative(-0.92)— Kaneda is extremely critical of Deep Root Pinball's failures and misleading practices. While he praises other manufacturers (Stern, Chicago Gaming, Spooky, Dutch Pinball, Labyrinth) for proper execution, the overwhelming tone is one of frustration, disappointment, and anger at Deep Root's repeated broken promises and lack of transparency. He expresses contempt for all parties involved (company, distributors, customers) and signals this may be his final commentary on the company. Only the passing mention of upcoming shipments from competitors provides minor positive sentiment.
groq_whisper · $0.063
Kaneda made a public statement seven months ago that he would 'fall on his sword' if Deep Root Pinball finished Fathom builds by year-end; he is now retracting that pledge.
high confidence · Kaneda: 'even Kaneda's Pinball Podcast said, I'm going to fall on my sword if this company finishes the Fathom builds by the end of the year.'
Other major pinball manufacturers (Chicago Gaming Company, Spooky, Dutch Pinball, Labyrinth, American Pinball) are shipping games more rapidly and transparently than Deep Root Pinball.
high confidence · Kaneda: 'Everyone else who's selling new in box games right now has figured out a way to get games made and get them to customers with much more transparency, much more efficiency, and much less headaches.'
Deep Root Pinball operates a financial model described as 'robbing Peter to pay Paul,' using new game deposits to fund completion of previous game orders.
medium confidence · Kaneda: 'I still feel like, you know, we're never going to get the full truth here that they needed to get Centaur deposit money to get enough capital to finish the Fathom builds. Why else would they ask for money so far in advance?'
Stern Pinball is releasing a new Metallica game designed from scratch using Spike 3 technology, separate from the classic 1992 Metallica machine.
medium confidence · Kaneda: 'Spike 3 with Metallica, a brand new designed game. A lot of conversation around that...Some people just want the old game made again with newer stuff and newer technology because it's such a good game. Some people are really excited for a brand new Metallica who don't own the old Metallica machine.'
Secondary market for new pinball games (Venom, Stern Premium Edition machines) are sitting unsold at distributors, suggesting oversupply in the market.
medium confidence · Kaneda: 'Trust me, people. There are hundreds of Venoms sitting in boxes that need to find homes. There are a lot of Stern Premium Edition sitting at distros without homes, people.'
Kaneda @ ~26:00 — Caveat on Metallica Spike 3 rumor accuracy
“Within six months you're going to be able to march in and get whatever you want for a price that's better than it is today.”
Kaneda @ ~29:30 — Prediction that secondary market pricing will improve due to oversupply
“And all of you deserve each other. And this is probably the last time I'm ever going to talk about Deep Root Pinball.”
Kaneda @ ~25:15 — Condemnation of entire ecosystem around Deep Root (company, distributors, buyers)
licensing_signal: No new IP licensing deals mentioned; focus on existing game production/delivery rather than new theme announcements
low · N/A - topic not substantively covered in episode
market_signal: Secondary market oversupply: Hundreds of Stern Venom units and Premium Edition machines sitting unsold at distributors; Jaws showing stronger sales momentum; Kaneda predicts secondary market pricing improvements within 6 months
medium · Kaneda: 'There are hundreds of Venoms sitting in boxes that need to find homes. There are a lot of Stern Premium Edition sitting at distros without homes...within six months you're going to be able to march in and get whatever you want for a price that's better than it is today'
community_signal: Kaneda declaring this may be his final public commentary on Deep Root Pinball despite its continued business operations; signaling editorial pivot away from the company
high · Kaneda: 'And this is probably the last time I'm ever going to talk about Deep Root Pinball because you know how I feel'
market_signal: Kaneda questions market viability of Centaur pricing ($10k-$17k) given Deep Root's damaged credibility and abundance of alternative games at similar price points
medium · Kaneda: 'How are you going to sell Centaurs at $10,000 to $17,000 with all the other stuff happening in the pinball world? There's just not enough demand. I don't see how they get this done.'
product_strategy: Fathom production missed promised end-of-2023 completion date; no public acknowledgment or revised timeline provided as of mid-February 2024
high · Kaneda: 'It is now mid-February. Are they done with the Fathom builds? No, they are not. Did they say they were done with the Fathom builds? No, they have not.'
rumor_hype: Stern releasing new Metallica game on Spike 3 platform; described as 'brand new designed' separate from classic 1992 Metallica machine; Kaneda treats as unconfirmed rumor
low · Kaneda: 'Spike 3 with Metallica, a brand new designed game...I mean, look, everything's a rumor until I see it before my own eyes'
sentiment_shift: Deep Root Pinball public trust deteriorating; July 2023 media coverage was positive and credulous; February 2024 community sentiment is now openly hostile with Pinside forum activity escalating
high · Kaneda: 'seven months ago in July, every single media outlet gave Deep Root Pinball the stage...Where is it? Where is everybody following up with all the promises that Deep Root Pinball's been making over the years?'