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Medieval Madness is Failing? | This Month's Pinball Market March 2026

LoserKid YouTube·video·9m 39s·analyzed·Mar 5, 2026
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Analysis

claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 · $0.028

TL;DR

March 2026 market analysis: Medieval Madness (Remake Merlin Edition) down, Pokémon (Premium/LE) up 54%, market stabilizing after COVID boom-bust cycle.

Summary

LoserKid analyzes March 2026 pinball market trends across Stern modern games, Williams classics, and Chicago Gaming Company remakes. Key findings: the market has stabilized after post-COVID spikes and sharp declines, with most pricing plateauing around averages. Notable movements include Godzilla 70th up 16%, Pokémon (Premium/LE) exploding 54% above MSRP, and Medieval Madness (Remake Merlin Edition) unexpectedly dropping below MSRP within 6 months of release—signaling potential market saturation or quality concerns.

Key Claims

  • Pokémon (Premium/LE) is up 54% from MSRP of $13,000 with confirmed sales north of $20,000, with some reports of $24-25k sales

    high confidence · LoserKid, direct market data analysis in video

  • Medieval Madness (Remake Merlin Edition) dropped to $12,500 average (down from $13,000 MSRP) within 6 months of release, with most dealers unwilling to stock another run

    high confidence · LoserKid, citing dealer reluctance and CGC production plans

  • Last four Stern new-box titles (Pokemon, Beetlejuice, Winchester, Harry Potter) sold out almost instantaneously

    high confidence · LoserKid market observation

  • Harry Potter LE exceeded typical 500-unit CE cap, with sales north of 1,500 CEs reported

    medium confidence · LoserKid citing hearsay ('from what I have heard')

  • Champion Pub has climbed 39% from $8,100 to $11,250 average, with recent sales in $10.5k-12.5k range

    high confidence · LoserKid market data

  • Godzilla 70th with Stumbler mods is commanding $10k+ prices, with highs at $14,000

    high confidence · LoserKid, attributing mods to Stumbler pinball custom work

  • Jersey Jack may have acquired Ghostbusters license, with rumors of a potential remake

    medium confidence · LoserKid speculation ('I don't know if this is being remade. There's been rumors')

  • Pinball market has stabilized after 2021-2022 highs and subsequent sharp declines; sales slowed post-Christmas

    high confidence · LoserKid opening analysis of macro trends

  • CGC is working on another run of Medieval Madness (Remake Merlin Edition) this year despite current secondary market weakness

    medium confidence · LoserKid, stating 'CGC is trying to push another run of these this year. They are working on it as we speak'

Notable Quotes

  • “I never thought I would say this in my life. Medieval Madness is being dethroned.”

    LoserKid@ 7:07 — Striking statement about Medieval Madness Merlin Edition's unexpected secondary market decline, signaling potential market saturation or quality concerns

  • “if these games are dropping within 6 months of release, there's something there's something up. And I don't know if it's a quality issue or if it's just we finally hit max capacity for the market.”

    LoserKid@ 8:12 — Core analysis of Medieval Madness Merlin decline, offering two hypotheses: quality issues or market saturation

  • “Pokémon (Premium/LE) is up 54% from its MSRP of $13,000 with multiple confirmed sales north of $20,000. I'm hearing 24 25.”

    LoserKid@ 3:30 — Documents explosive secondary market demand for Pokemon LE, driven by license exclusivity

  • “The new box market is doing extremely well considering a year ago we thought the pinball market and the new box was dead.”

    LoserKid@ 3:57 — Sentiment shift on new-box viability after perceived 2025 crisis; reflects broader market recovery narrative

  • “what is helping with these though is if you already have the kit installed in your game, it is giving you that extra boost in cell.”

    LoserKid@ 9:25 — Notes how Cactus Canyon Complete Mode installations are increasing secondary market values, creating upgrade incentive

  • “Ghostbusters (Pro) is down 10%... I don't know if this is being remade. There's been rumors that Jersey Jack now has a license.”

    LoserKid — Rumor about potential JJP Ghostbusters remake; pricing decline may reflect license uncertainty

Entities

LoserKidpersonStern PinballcompanyChicago Gaming Companycompany[name withheld pending review]companyJersey Jack PinballcompanyStumblerpersonPat LawlorpersonJosh Sharpeperson

Signals

  • $

    market_signal: Medieval Madness Merlin Edition dropped below MSRP ($12,500 avg from $13,000 MSRP) within 6 months of release; dealers unwilling to stock planned second run

    high · LoserKid reports: 'Medieval Madness Merlin Edition...Its MSRP was $13,000. We see it's dropping down to 125 on the average...because of the situation with these Merlin where they're selling below MSRP, most dealers aren't taking them on.'

  • $

    market_signal: Overall pinball market stabilized after 2021–2022 peaks and subsequent sharp declines; now plateauing around historical averages with slower post-holiday sales

    high · LoserKid opening: 'we started to see some sharp declines across the pinball market...Right now pinball is starting to taper off. We're starting to get those nice plateaus and most pricing is sticking around its average.'

  • ?

    product_concern: Medieval Madness Merlin Edition's unexpected secondary market decline within 6 months raises questions about quality issues or design problems

    medium · LoserKid: 'if these games are dropping within 6 months of release, there's something there's something up. And I don't know if it's a quality issue or if it's just we finally hit max capacity for the market.'

  • $

    market_signal: New-box market segment recovering strongly; last four Stern releases (Pokemon, Beetlejuice, Winchester, Harry Potter) sold out almost instantaneously; contrasts with market doom narrative from ~1 year prior

    high · LoserKid: 'The new box market is doing extremely well considering a year ago we thought the pinball market and the new box was dead. The last four titles have sold out almost instantaneously.'

  • ?

Transcript

youtube_auto_sub · $0.000

0:01
The market's in constant change and March is no different. We're going to be going over Stern Modern Games, Valley Williams Classics, and CGC remakes. It is this month's Pimal Market.
0:17
I want to start this episode with a small disclaimer. First off, my voice is a little off. I've had influenza for 3 weeks now, wherever it is. But as I've been doing my data for this episode, I have noticed some trends that have been going on since co co we had some really high spikes, right? With some highs in 2021, 2022. Then we started to see some sharp declines across the pinball market and they really started to dip hard. Right now pinball is starting to taper off. We're starting to get those nice plateaus and most pricing is sticking around its average. I do still have some really interesting data for this month, but I want you to know that combined with sales have slowed down a little bit after Christmas because everyone's feeling broke and the new inbox market is finding more and more appeal as it releases games like Pokemon. So, let's dig into Stern right now. Right now, Guardians of the Galaxy Pro is down 5% from its average of 5,500. I'm seeing multiple selling around 5,000 with that being the low and the high being around 6,500. So, it's a very interesting what's going on there. Next, Avengers Infinity Quest Premium. It is down 6% from its average of 6,900 to 6,500. My opinion, I own this game for years. This is a still of a deal. This is great code. If if it feels a little complex, may dig into it to have a premium that is an Elwin. And these are selling on the low end. I saw four sell for $6,000 and the high being $6,900. This is a great game to put into your collection for $6,000 for a premium. All right, Ghostbusters Pro is down 10% from its average of 6,800 to 6150. Mostly we're saying these sell around 6,000 with the low being 5800 and as high as 6750. The pro is a great game for this Ghostbusters. And if you've been looking for one, this might be the time to scoop it up. I don't know if this is being remade. There's been rumors that Jersey Jack now has a license. It's going to be interesting to see what the license what the future holds for this license as we move forward. All right, let's talk about the up for Stern right now. Godzilla 70th is up 16% from 98.50 to 11400. If your Godzilla 70th is tastefully modded that is easily commanding 10,000 plus I'm seeing as high as $14,000. That's you have to have it modded though to see these numbers. I do not want anyone thinking that they can just buy straight up Godzilla 70th and then turn around flip it for these numbers. it. Stumbler has done a fantastic job. If you've not looked at Stumbler and his mods, stumbler pinball.com, he's done a wonderful job in incorporating his mods and making them black and white for this special edition. And last but not least, I do not typically cover new market because I don't have that data very solid, but I'm very confident saying that PokemonLE is up 54% from its MSRP of $13,000 with multiple confirmed sales north of $20,000. I'm hearing 24 25. I don't know if I've seen 30 being for sale, but that doesn't mean they're getting 30 out of it. So, this title is very hot and it is a very unique situation where the license matched with Stern is driving up this price. So, I know there's a lot of people out there frustrated about this one, but let's be honest, the new market is doing extremely well considering a year ago we thought the pinball market and the new box was dead. The last four titles have sold out almost instantaneously. Pokemon, Beetlejuice, Winchester, and Harry Potter. And the interesting part about Harry Potter is they have not capped the limit on the CES, but the typical C was around 500 and they've sold north of 1500 on the CES from what I have heard. All right, let's move on to Bali Williams down. Monster Bash is down 4% from its average of 8,900 to 8,500. this Gomez Classic that is just a great fan layout to put in your home. They're really selling all over the place. I'm seeing them as low as 7700 and as high as 9950. All right, this next one was a bit of surprise to me. It's considered one of the greatest pinball machines of all time and has been very influential. Uh Twilight Zone is down 10% from its average of 9,000 to 8,100. I saw one sell as low as 7,200 and the high is around 8,800. So, we're still even below average on the high end of the side. And then this game was trending up for so long it doesn't shock me it's starting to come down now. Whirlwind is down 13% from 4,800 to 4,200. I'm seeing as low as 3,900 bucks, as high as 4,700. This game is still commanding a high price in my opinion for William System 11. Still a great game. It is very influential to this day. It's another Pat Lawler. Right. Speaking of Pat Lawers, let's talk about what is trending up. Adams Family is up 29% from its average of 9900 to 12,750. Its low 7750 and its high was $14,000. Let me put an asterk here though. This was fully restored and the person that took this game and restored it did it all to the original specs. So they did all the original parts. They went all out and trying to make this new in box as if you would have got it from 1992. So that does skew things a little bit, but overall M's family has always been on the up and up. Last but not least, I've talked about this game multiple times over the this past year. Champion Pub. It is still climbing. I don't know how it's doing it, but it is. It's up 39% from its average of 8,100 to 11250. The couple that have sold were very, very nice examples. They either been home use only, documented, home use only or restored. Low 105 and the high was 125. this game. And what's interesting though is there's a lot of games sitting on the market around that 8 to 10 range that are not selling. So, people are looking for really great examples of this and when they do, they buy. All right, let's move on to Chicago Gaming Company. I never thought I would say this in my life. Medieval Madness is being dethroned. That is right. It is down right now. Medieval Madness Merlin Edition that came out last year. If you remember, this game sold out in less than 24 to 48 hours. It's another example about the new and box market selling out selling out really, really quick. Its MSRP was $13,000. We see it's dropping down to 125 on the average and it's as low as 115 selling as high as 13250. And here's another thing that they're not telling you about Medieval Madness Merlin Edition. CGC is trying to push another run of these this year. They are working on it as we speak, but because of the situation with these Merlin where they're selling below MSRP, most dealers aren't taking them on. So, I don't know if CGC is going to end up making these Merlin's editions and trying to force them out via allocation or what we're going to see, but if these games are dropping within 6 months of release, there's something there's something up. And I don't know if it's a quality issue or if it's just we finally hit max capacity for the market. All right, up Attack for Mars Special Edition is up 4%. From its average of 10,500 to 10875. I have seen this selling as low as $9,000, but as high as $13,000. And they're consistently selling in the high above 10k range. And it's just it's a great classic game. And I I'm kind of shocked that CGC has not remade this one, especially if the special editions are commanding this much of a price. Last but not least, Cactus Canyon Special Edition. This game is up 5% from its average of 6,900 to 7250. It really took a dip over these last couple years, but is being revitalized by the new Lyman Sheets Cactus Contion Cactus Canyon Complete Mode uh with Jaw Sharp at the helm. I have seen one sell as low as 5500 and one as high as 8,700. What is helping with these though is if you already have the kit installed in your game, it is giving you that extra boost in cell. It may be a pain in the butt. I know it takes a couple hours to install, but it could be worth it if you're trying to move a Cactus Canyon edition. So, thank you for tuning in. I will see you next

Twilight Zone has declined 10% from $9,000 to $8,100 average after trending up for a long period

high confidence · LoserKid market data analysis

@ 2:21
  • “Champion Pub. It is still climbing. I don't know how it's doing it, but it is.”

    LoserKid@ 6:27 — Notes Champion Pub's sustained upward price trajectory despite overall market slowdown, suggesting niche collector demand

  • “Stumbler has done a fantastic job... he's done a wonderful job in incorporating his mods and making them black and white for this special edition.”

    LoserKid@ 3:10 — Credits Stumbler's Godzilla 70th mods as driver of premium secondary market pricing

  • Guardians of the Galaxy Pro
    game
    Avengers Infinity Quest Premiumgame
    Ghostbusters (Pro)game
    Godzilla 70th Anniversarygame
    Pokémon (Premium/LE)game
    Monster Bashgame
    Twilight Zonegame
    Whirlwindgame
    The Addams Familygame
    Champion Pubgame
    Medieval Madness (Remake Merlin Edition)game
    Attack From Mars (Remake Special)game
    Cactus Canyon Special Editiongame
    Beetlejuicegame
    Winchestergame
    Harry Pottergame

    collector_signal: Pokemon LE commanding 54% premium over MSRP ($13k→$20k–25k) due to license exclusivity and perceived scarcity; drives FOMO-driven secondary market demand

    high · LoserKid: 'Pokemon LE is up 54% from its MSRP of $13,000 with multiple confirmed sales north of $20,000...this title is very hot and it is a very unique situation where the license matched with Stern is driving up this price.'

  • ?

    product_concern: Medieval Madness Merlin Edition price drop may indicate market has reached maximum capacity for remake/special edition tier pricing

    medium · LoserKid hypothesis: 'we finally hit max capacity for the market' as explanation for Merlin decline and dealer reluctance to stock new run

  • $

    market_signal: Champion Pub sustained 39% price growth ($8.1k→$11.25k) despite overall market slowdown; demand concentrated in high-quality examples while lower-tier copies stagnate

    high · LoserKid: 'Champion Pub...It is still climbing...up 39%...what's interesting though is there's a lot of games sitting on the market around that 8 to 10 range that are not selling. So, people are looking for really great examples of this and when they do, they buy.'

  • ?

    collector_signal: Godzilla 70th Anniversary custom mods (Stumbler) driving secondary market premiums; tastefully modded examples commanding $10k–14k vs. baseline MSRP ~$9.8k

    high · LoserKid: 'If your Godzilla 70th is tastefully modded that is easily commanding 10,000 plus...Stumbler has done a fantastic job...he's done a wonderful job in incorporating his mods and making them black and white for this special edition.'

  • $

    market_signal: Classic Williams electromechanical/early digital market mixed: Addams Family up 29% ($9.9k→$12.75k), Champion Pub up 39%, but Twilight Zone down 10% ($9k→$8.1k) and Whirlwind down 13% ($4.8k→$4.2k); selective collector demand

    high · LoserKid market data across Williams titles section

  • ?

    licensing_signal: Rumors that Jersey Jack Pinball has acquired or is negotiating Ghostbusters license; Stern Ghostbusters Pro declining 10% may reflect license uncertainty or pending remake

    medium · LoserKid: 'Ghostbusters Pro is down 10%...I don't know if this is being remade. There's been rumors that Jersey Jack now has a license. It's going to be interesting to see what the license what the future holds for this license as we move forward.'

  • ?

    product_strategy: CGC planning second production run of Medieval Madness Merlin Edition despite current secondary market weakness; may resort to forced dealer allocation

    medium · LoserKid: 'CGC is trying to push another run of these this year. They are working on it as we speak, but because of the situation with these Merlin where they're selling below MSRP, most dealers aren't taking them on. So, I don't know if CGC is going to end up making these Merlin's editions and trying to force them out via allocation or what we're going to see.'

  • $

    market_signal: Post-holiday sales slowdown noted; attributed to consumer budget exhaustion post-Christmas; combined with rise of adjacent markets (new inbox games like Pokemon) competing for collector spending

    high · LoserKid: 'combined with sales have slowed down a little bit after Christmas because everyone's feeling broke and the new inbox market is finding more and more appeal as it releases games like Pokemon.'