claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 · $0.030
Medieval Madness Merlin crashing; market stabilizes; Pokemon LE explodes.
Medieval Madness Merlin Edition dropped from $13,000 MSRP to $12,500 average within 6 months of release
high confidence · LoserKid, analyzing Chicago Gaming Company market data; speaker owns/tracks secondary market pricing data
Chicago Gaming Company is attempting to produce another run of Medieval Madness Merlin Editions this year, but dealers are refusing to stock them due to secondary market weakness
high confidence · LoserKid states: 'CGC is trying to push another run of these this year. They are working on it as we speak, but because of the situation with these Merlin where they're selling below MSRP, most dealers aren't taking them on.'
Pokemon LE is up 54% from MSRP of $13,000 with confirmed sales north of $20,000, reaching $24,000–$25,000
high confidence · LoserKid: 'PokemonLE is up 54% from its MSRP of $13,000 with multiple confirmed sales north of $20,000. I'm hearing 24 25.'
The last four Stern new-box releases (Pokemon, Beetlejuice, Winchester, Harry Potter) sold out almost instantaneously
high confidence · LoserKid: 'The last four titles have sold out almost instantaneously. Pokemon, Beetlejuice, Winchester, and Harry Potter.'
Harry Potter CE has sold north of 1,500 units, far exceeding the typical ~500 CE cap
medium confidence · LoserKid: 'they have not capped the limit on the CEs, but the typical C was around 500 and they've sold north of 1500 on the CEs from what I have heard'
Ghostbusters Pro is potentially being remade by Jersey Jack Pinball, who reportedly now holds the license
medium confidence · LoserKid: 'I don't know if this is being remade. There's been rumors that Jersey Jack now has a license.'
Godzilla 70th with Stumbler mods can command $10,000–$14,000 depending on condition and customization
high confidence · LoserKid cites Stumbler Pinball mods as driver of secondary market premium; notes modded examples selling for $14,000
The pinball market peaked in 2021–2022, has experienced sharp declines, and is now plateauing at stabilized average prices
“Medieval Madness is being dethroned. That is right. It is down right now.”
LoserKid@ 7:11 — Declarative statement marking a significant market sentiment shift; Medieval Madness had been the flagship reissue title for Chicago Gaming Company
“CGC is trying to push another run of these this year. They are working on it as we speak, but because of the situation with these Merlin where they're selling below MSRP, most dealers aren't taking them on.”
LoserKid@ 7:54 — Reveals internal pressure on CGC supply chain; dealer resistance to overstock is blocking planned production
“if these games are dropping within 6 months of release, there's something there's something up. And I don't know if it's a quality issue or if it's just we finally hit max capacity for the market.”
LoserKid@ 8:12 — Speculation on root cause of Merlin decline; raises question of either product issue or market saturation
“PokemonLE is up 54% from its MSRP of $13,000 with multiple confirmed sales north of $20,000. I'm hearing 24 25.”
LoserKid@ 3:30 — Demonstrates extreme secondary market premium driven by IP licensing alignment and limited availability
“The last four titles have sold out almost instantaneously. Pokemon, Beetlejuice, Winchester, and Harry Potter. And the interesting part about Harry Potter is they have not capped the limit on the CEs, but the typical C was around 500 and they've sold north of 1500 on the CEs from what I have heard.”
LoserKid@ 4:13 — Confirms new-box market strength and uncapped CE demand for Harry Potter; signals manufacturer confidence in title appeal
market_signal: Pinball market has stabilized after 2021–2022 peak and subsequent sharp decline; most games now trading at stabilized averages with modest monthly variance
high · LoserKid: 'Right now pinball is starting to taper off. We're starting to get those nice plateaus and most pricing is sticking around its average.'
product_concern: Medieval Madness Merlin Edition dropped below MSRP within 6 months of release; secondary market weakness signals possible market saturation or quality issue
high · LoserKid: 'if these games are dropping within 6 months of release, there's something there's something up. And I don't know if it's a quality issue or if it's just we finally hit max capacity for the market.'
supply_chain_signal: Chicago Gaming Company attempting additional Medieval Madness Merlin production run, but dealers refusing to stock due to secondary market weakness below MSRP
high · LoserKid: 'CGC is trying to push another run of these this year... but because of the situation with these Merlin where they're selling below MSRP, most dealers aren't taking them on.'
market_signal: Stern new-box releases (Pokemon, Beetlejuice, Winchester, Harry Potter) selling out instantaneously; secondary market premiums on Pokemon LE exceeding 50%; market recovery from perceived 2024 slump
high · LoserKid: 'The last four titles have sold out almost instantaneously... PokemonLE is up 54% from its MSRP of $13,000 with multiple confirmed sales north of $20,000.'
collector_signal: Secondary market increasingly selective; high-condition examples (Champion Pub, Cactus Canyon with mods) selling strongly while lower-grade examples stagnate
youtube_auto_sub · $0.000
high confidence · LoserKid opening analysis: 'we had some really high spikes, right? With some highs in 2021, 2022. Then we started to see some sharp declines... Right now pinball is starting to taper off.'
Champion Pub has climbed 39% from $8,100 average to $11,250, driven by demand for high-condition examples only
high confidence · LoserKid: 'Champion Pub. It is still climbing... It's up 39% from its average of 8,100 to 11250... there's a lot of games sitting on the market around that 8 to 10 range that are not selling.'
Cactus Canyon Complete Mode kit (Lyman Sheets, Jaws Sharp) is driving secondary market revitalization for original Cactus Canyon Special Edition
high confidence · LoserKid: 'if you already have the kit installed in your game, it is giving you that extra boost in cell... could be worth it if you're trying to move a Cactus Canyon edition'
“Adams Family has always been on the up and up... up 29% from its average of 9900 to 12,750.”
LoserKid@ 5:46 — Pat Lawlor's 1992 classic sustains appreciation; fully restored examples command premium pricing
“Godzilla 70th is tastefully modded that is easily commanding 10,000 plus I'm seeing as high as $14,000. That's you have to have it modded though to see these numbers.”
LoserKid@ 2:52 — Aftermarket mod ecosystem (Stumbler Pinball) creating secondary market value capture; base game appreciation insufficient alone
high · LoserKid: 'there's a lot of games sitting on the market around that 8 to 10 range that are not selling. So, people are looking for really great examples of this and when they do, they buy.'
technology_signal: Aftermarket mod kits (Stumbler Pinball Godzilla mods, Cactus Canyon Complete Mode) creating secondary market value uplift; operators increasingly installing upgrades to boost resale prices
high · LoserKid: 'if you already have the kit installed in your game, it is giving you that extra boost in cell... could be worth it if you're trying to move a Cactus Canyon edition'
licensing_signal: Strong IP alignment (Pokemon, Harry Potter) driving extreme secondary market premiums (50%+) on Stern new-box releases; license availability appears to be key pricing driver
high · LoserKid: 'the new market is doing extremely well... the license matched with Stern is driving up this price' (on Pokemon LE); Harry Potter CE uncapped and exceeded 1,500 sold
sentiment_shift: Historic classics (Twilight Zone, Whirlwind) experiencing pricing declines after multi-year appreciation; collector focus shifting toward condition-pristine examples and limited new releases
high · LoserKid: 'Twilight Zone is down 10%... this game was trending up for so long it doesn't shock me it's starting to come down now. Whirlwind is down 13%.'
rumor_hype: Unconfirmed rumor that Jersey Jack Pinball has acquired Ghostbusters license; potential remake in development
medium · LoserKid: 'I don't know if this is being remade. There's been rumors that Jersey Jack now has a license.'
operational_signal: Post-Christmas sales slowdown observed across secondary market; consumer spending fatigue affecting transaction velocity
medium · LoserKid: 'combined with sales have slowed down a little bit after Christmas because everyone's feeling broke'
product_strategy: Chicago Gaming Company working on additional Medieval Madness Merlin run despite secondary market weakness; considering dealer allocation model to force distribution
high · LoserKid: 'I don't know if CGC is going to end up making these Merlin's editions and trying to force them out via allocation or what we're going to see'
market_signal: Harry Potter CE demand exceeded manufacturer expectations; uncapped CE production (typical ~500 units) resulted in 1,500+ sales, signaling IP-driven FOMO and dealer-friendly stocking strategy
high · LoserKid: 'they have not capped the limit on the CEs, but the typical C was around 500 and they've sold north of 1500 on the CEs from what I have heard'