claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 · $0.028
March 2026 market analysis: Medieval Madness (Remake Merlin Edition) down, Pokémon (Premium/LE) up 54%, market stabilizing after COVID boom-bust cycle.
Pokémon (Premium/LE) is up 54% from MSRP of $13,000 with confirmed sales north of $20,000, with some reports of $24-25k sales
high confidence · LoserKid, direct market data analysis in video
Medieval Madness (Remake Merlin Edition) dropped to $12,500 average (down from $13,000 MSRP) within 6 months of release, with most dealers unwilling to stock another run
high confidence · LoserKid, citing dealer reluctance and CGC production plans
Last four Stern new-box titles (Pokemon, Beetlejuice, Winchester, Harry Potter) sold out almost instantaneously
high confidence · LoserKid market observation
Harry Potter LE exceeded typical 500-unit CE cap, with sales north of 1,500 CEs reported
medium confidence · LoserKid citing hearsay ('from what I have heard')
Champion Pub has climbed 39% from $8,100 to $11,250 average, with recent sales in $10.5k-12.5k range
high confidence · LoserKid market data
Godzilla 70th with Stumbler mods is commanding $10k+ prices, with highs at $14,000
high confidence · LoserKid, attributing mods to Stumbler pinball custom work
Jersey Jack may have acquired Ghostbusters license, with rumors of a potential remake
medium confidence · LoserKid speculation ('I don't know if this is being remade. There's been rumors')
Pinball market has stabilized after 2021-2022 highs and subsequent sharp declines; sales slowed post-Christmas
high confidence · LoserKid opening analysis of macro trends
CGC is working on another run of Medieval Madness (Remake Merlin Edition) this year despite current secondary market weakness
medium confidence · LoserKid, stating 'CGC is trying to push another run of these this year. They are working on it as we speak'
“I never thought I would say this in my life. Medieval Madness is being dethroned.”
LoserKid@ 7:07 — Striking statement about Medieval Madness Merlin Edition's unexpected secondary market decline, signaling potential market saturation or quality concerns
“if these games are dropping within 6 months of release, there's something there's something up. And I don't know if it's a quality issue or if it's just we finally hit max capacity for the market.”
LoserKid@ 8:12 — Core analysis of Medieval Madness Merlin decline, offering two hypotheses: quality issues or market saturation
“Pokémon (Premium/LE) is up 54% from its MSRP of $13,000 with multiple confirmed sales north of $20,000. I'm hearing 24 25.”
LoserKid@ 3:30 — Documents explosive secondary market demand for Pokemon LE, driven by license exclusivity
“The new box market is doing extremely well considering a year ago we thought the pinball market and the new box was dead.”
LoserKid@ 3:57 — Sentiment shift on new-box viability after perceived 2025 crisis; reflects broader market recovery narrative
“what is helping with these though is if you already have the kit installed in your game, it is giving you that extra boost in cell.”
LoserKid@ 9:25 — Notes how Cactus Canyon Complete Mode installations are increasing secondary market values, creating upgrade incentive
“Ghostbusters (Pro) is down 10%... I don't know if this is being remade. There's been rumors that Jersey Jack now has a license.”
LoserKid — Rumor about potential JJP Ghostbusters remake; pricing decline may reflect license uncertainty
market_signal: Medieval Madness Merlin Edition dropped below MSRP ($12,500 avg from $13,000 MSRP) within 6 months of release; dealers unwilling to stock planned second run
high · LoserKid reports: 'Medieval Madness Merlin Edition...Its MSRP was $13,000. We see it's dropping down to 125 on the average...because of the situation with these Merlin where they're selling below MSRP, most dealers aren't taking them on.'
market_signal: Overall pinball market stabilized after 2021–2022 peaks and subsequent sharp declines; now plateauing around historical averages with slower post-holiday sales
high · LoserKid opening: 'we started to see some sharp declines across the pinball market...Right now pinball is starting to taper off. We're starting to get those nice plateaus and most pricing is sticking around its average.'
product_concern: Medieval Madness Merlin Edition's unexpected secondary market decline within 6 months raises questions about quality issues or design problems
medium · LoserKid: 'if these games are dropping within 6 months of release, there's something there's something up. And I don't know if it's a quality issue or if it's just we finally hit max capacity for the market.'
market_signal: New-box market segment recovering strongly; last four Stern releases (Pokemon, Beetlejuice, Winchester, Harry Potter) sold out almost instantaneously; contrasts with market doom narrative from ~1 year prior
high · LoserKid: 'The new box market is doing extremely well considering a year ago we thought the pinball market and the new box was dead. The last four titles have sold out almost instantaneously.'
youtube_auto_sub · $0.000
Twilight Zone has declined 10% from $9,000 to $8,100 average after trending up for a long period
high confidence · LoserKid market data analysis
“Champion Pub. It is still climbing. I don't know how it's doing it, but it is.”
LoserKid@ 6:27 — Notes Champion Pub's sustained upward price trajectory despite overall market slowdown, suggesting niche collector demand
“Stumbler has done a fantastic job... he's done a wonderful job in incorporating his mods and making them black and white for this special edition.”
LoserKid@ 3:10 — Credits Stumbler's Godzilla 70th mods as driver of premium secondary market pricing
collector_signal: Pokemon LE commanding 54% premium over MSRP ($13k→$20k–25k) due to license exclusivity and perceived scarcity; drives FOMO-driven secondary market demand
high · LoserKid: 'Pokemon LE is up 54% from its MSRP of $13,000 with multiple confirmed sales north of $20,000...this title is very hot and it is a very unique situation where the license matched with Stern is driving up this price.'
product_concern: Medieval Madness Merlin Edition price drop may indicate market has reached maximum capacity for remake/special edition tier pricing
medium · LoserKid hypothesis: 'we finally hit max capacity for the market' as explanation for Merlin decline and dealer reluctance to stock new run
market_signal: Champion Pub sustained 39% price growth ($8.1k→$11.25k) despite overall market slowdown; demand concentrated in high-quality examples while lower-tier copies stagnate
high · LoserKid: 'Champion Pub...It is still climbing...up 39%...what's interesting though is there's a lot of games sitting on the market around that 8 to 10 range that are not selling. So, people are looking for really great examples of this and when they do, they buy.'
collector_signal: Godzilla 70th Anniversary custom mods (Stumbler) driving secondary market premiums; tastefully modded examples commanding $10k–14k vs. baseline MSRP ~$9.8k
high · LoserKid: 'If your Godzilla 70th is tastefully modded that is easily commanding 10,000 plus...Stumbler has done a fantastic job...he's done a wonderful job in incorporating his mods and making them black and white for this special edition.'
market_signal: Classic Williams electromechanical/early digital market mixed: Addams Family up 29% ($9.9k→$12.75k), Champion Pub up 39%, but Twilight Zone down 10% ($9k→$8.1k) and Whirlwind down 13% ($4.8k→$4.2k); selective collector demand
high · LoserKid market data across Williams titles section
licensing_signal: Rumors that Jersey Jack Pinball has acquired or is negotiating Ghostbusters license; Stern Ghostbusters Pro declining 10% may reflect license uncertainty or pending remake
medium · LoserKid: 'Ghostbusters Pro is down 10%...I don't know if this is being remade. There's been rumors that Jersey Jack now has a license. It's going to be interesting to see what the license what the future holds for this license as we move forward.'
product_strategy: CGC planning second production run of Medieval Madness Merlin Edition despite current secondary market weakness; may resort to forced dealer allocation
medium · LoserKid: 'CGC is trying to push another run of these this year. They are working on it as we speak, but because of the situation with these Merlin where they're selling below MSRP, most dealers aren't taking them on. So, I don't know if CGC is going to end up making these Merlin's editions and trying to force them out via allocation or what we're going to see.'
market_signal: Post-holiday sales slowdown noted; attributed to consumer budget exhaustion post-Christmas; combined with rise of adjacent markets (new inbox games like Pokemon) competing for collector spending
high · LoserKid: 'combined with sales have slowed down a little bit after Christmas because everyone's feeling broke and the new inbox market is finding more and more appeal as it releases games like Pokemon.'