claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 · $0.035
Oz Wide predicts 2026 price hikes, Mario pin, flooded market with 16 machines in 2 days.
The Australian pinball secondary market has become heavily flooded with machines; 16 machines listed in just two days
high confidence · Jarrod and Matt reviewing Facebook marketplace listings; Jarrod states 'in two days total, you've got 16 machines' and 'the market is absolutely flooded with machines'
Stern will likely increase AU prices by AU$250-350 sometime in 2026, possibly at Winchester Mystery House (July)
medium confidence · Matt's 2026 prediction: 'I believe there'll be another $250, $350 add-on top sometime this year. Okay. Probably in Winchester Mystery House, July, I'd be guessing.'
Pokemon pinball has not yet been announced despite rumors; Sonic is rumored (from Sega); Mario is predicted to follow as a Nintendo-era trend
medium confidence · Matt: 'with all the talk about Pokemon coming out, which wasn't announced still...we've supposedly Sonic in the rumour, being Sega. I'm seeing a little bit of a trend here. So I can only imagine Mario will be a machine'
The pinball market pricing has stagnated over the last couple of months and needs to drop further due to oversupply
high confidence · Jarrod: 'I feel like the market has settled...I feel like there's room for them to drop now because people need to sell these machines...and the only way they're going to do that is by dropping prices'
Podcast has grown to over 2,000 combined listeners across all streaming services and is in the top 25% of pinball podcasts globally
medium confidence · Jarrod: 'we're pretty good. It was funny actually...someone found the other pinball podcasts and put us in with those. And I think we ended up being just shy of the top 25% of podcasts in the world. With Pinball.'
2026 will be one of the biggest years for pinball in Australia due to increased expos and community engagement
medium confidence · Jarrod: 'I just feel like this could be one of the biggest years for pinball in Australia we've got extra expos going this year...I just feel like more people are going Tee'd Off come into the hobby'
Harry Potter pinball features six movie-based modes/inserts selectable from the playfield
“I just feel like this could be one of the biggest years for pinball in Australia we've got extra expos going this year...I just feel like more people are going Tee'd Off come into the hobby”
Jarrod @ ~37:00 — Optimistic prediction about Australian pinball market growth driven by expos and exposure
“in two days total, you've got 16 machines...Yep. 16. 16. And the list just keeps going on.”
Jarrod @ ~52:00 — Stark illustration of market oversupply; quantifies the flood of secondary market listings
“I feel like there's room for them to drop now because people need to sell these machines, obviously, and the only way they're going to do that is by dropping prices.”
Jarrod @ ~58:00 — Market analysis: oversupply creates pressure for price reductions
“my prediction is that there will be another price increase for the new in-box machines. Across the board, regardless of whose they are...I believe there'll be another $250, $350 add-on top sometime this year”
Matt @ ~20:00 — 2026 prediction for new machine pricing; specific AU$ amount and probable timing
“with all the talk about Pokemon coming out, which wasn't announced still, which is quite surprising, with the Nintendo era, and we've supposedly Sonic in the rumour, being Sega. I'm seeing a little bit of a trend here. So I can only imagine Mario will be a machine”
Matt @ ~25:00 — Speculates on future Nintendo IP pinballs based on IP trend pattern; Mario prediction
“It'd be amazing...Huge, mate. Huge, you know. The amount of number one hits he had...The King of Pop.”
Jarrod (discussing Michael Jackson prediction) @ ~32:00 — Enthusiasm for potential Michael Jackson pin; acknowledges divisiveness of IP
“I was just going Tee'd Off open up Facebook quickly and have a look at...the market is flooded. We're pinball flooded.”
Jarrod @ ~40:00 — Market saturation observation; sets up price watch segment
market_signal: Secondary market flooded with 16+ machines in two days; pricing has stagnated over recent weeks; hosts predict prices must drop to move inventory
high · Jarrod: '16 machines...in two days total...the market is absolutely flooded' and 'there's room for them to drop now because people need to sell these machines'
market_signal: Prices for sought-after machines (Avatar Limited, Medieval Madness, various LE editions) have dropped significantly; AU$15.5k for Avatar LE is described as 'bloody cheap'
high · Matt: 'James Cameron Avatar (Limited Edition) 15.5...That's bloody cheap...I don't think we've ever seen that, have we? Not for a remake'
product_strategy: Prediction of AU$250-350 price increase for new Stern machines in 2026, likely at Winchester Mystery House in July
medium · Matt: 'I believe there'll be another $250, $350 add-on top sometime this year...Probably in Winchester Mystery House, July, I'd be guessing'
rumor_hype: Hosts speculate on upcoming IP announcements: Mario predicted after Pokemon and Sonic rumors; Michael Jackson pinball also speculated; Masters of the Universe movie tie-in expected mid-year
low · Matt: 'with all the talk about Pokemon coming out, which wasn't announced still...So I can only imagine Mario will be a machine' and Jarrod on Michael Jackson; Masters of the Universe trailer recently dropped
community_signal: Australian pinball community expanding through expos, new listeners joining, increased venue visibility; hosts optimistic about 2026 growth trajectory
groq_whisper · $0.249
medium confidence · Jarrod discussing his visit with George: 'you choose between one Tee'd Off six movies, getting those up...there were six movie inserts that you can choose from Prisoner of Azkaban through'
Secondary market prices for machines like James Cameron Avatar (Limited Edition) have dropped to AU$15.5k, and Medieval Madness remake to around AU$15.5k—both unusually low
high confidence · Matt: 'Medieval Madness remake, the James Cameron Avatar (Limited Edition) 15.5. Yep. That's bloody cheap...I don't think we've ever seen that, have we? Not for a remake.'
“I look at that and then I look at what I'm trying to sell with my Game of Thrones Premium Edition in amongst all of that they're just getting lost”
Jarrod @ ~57:00 — Personal perspective on oversupply impact; difficulty selling in flooded market
medium · Jarrod: 'I just feel like this could be one of the biggest years for pinball in Australia' and 'We picked up a few extra followers, which was awesome'
content_signal: Pinball Oz Wide has exceeded 2,000 combined listeners across streaming platforms and ranks in top 25% of pinball podcasts globally
medium · Jarrod: 'we're pretty good...We'd be over 2,000, aren't we?...someone found the other pinball podcasts...we ended up being just shy of the top 25%'
licensing_signal: Hosts identify trend of Nintendo console IP (Mario likely next), Sega IP (Sonic rumored), and classic film IP entering pinball portfolio; suggests IP licensing accelerating
medium · Matt: 'I'm seeing a little bit of a trend here...with the Nintendo era, and we've supposedly Sonic...I can only imagine Mario will be a machine'
machine_intel: Multiple recent sales documented: Medieval Madness remake at AU$15.5k, Avatar LE at AU$15.5k, Iron Man Vault at AU$8.5k (well below typical AU$12-15k), Sharky Shootout at AU$4k, Ripley's at AU$6.95k
high · Matt and Jarrod comprehensive price watch review; examples given with specific AU$ amounts and condition notes
sentiment_shift: Shift toward concern about selling machines in oversupplied market; Jarrod notes difficulty selling his Game of Thrones Premium amid flood of listings
medium · Jarrod: 'I look at that and then I look at what I'm trying to sell with my Game of Thrones Premium Edition...they're just getting lost'
event_signal: Multiple expos planned for 2026: Melbourne Pinball Expo, Australian Pinball Championship (ACS Champs), Pinfest, return to Tazpin; community expects growth from increased exposure
medium · Jarrod: 'we've got extra expos going this year...we're going back Tee'd Off Tazpin...we're heading up Tee'd Off nil...we decided in a couple of months'
regulatory_signal: Evidence of market needing to adjust: bulk seller (Mulder Scully) listing ~10 machines at once; multiple similar machines competing (3 High-Speed Getaways, multiple Tri-Zones); suggests forced liquidation patterns
medium · Jarrod: 'Mulder Scully looks like he's thrown a few machines out there to get rid of X amount...He probably listed 10, needs to sell five'