claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 · $0.037
Spooky rides high with Evil Dead success; Stern struggles with X-Men failures and questionable roadmap.
Spooky Pinball sold 650+ Evil Dead machines in one week
high confidence · Kaneda stated this as fact during discussion of Spooky's launch success
Metallica LE secondary market price is $17,000-$18,000 with ready buyers
high confidence · Kaneda reported observing multiple sales at this price point and described it as 'the sweet spot'
John Borg is working on a Tron remake (modernizing the original Tron, not Tron Legacy)
medium confidence · Kaneda stated 'You can believe me or not' indicating insider information but not official confirmation
X-Men shipped before being ready and has unfixable code issues that won't be addressed
high confidence · Kaneda reported this from internal Stern sources and stated 'The fixes are not going to come'
Brian Eddy's Dungeons and Dragons was the reason X-Men was rushed out before ready
medium confidence · Kaneda speculated 'Most likely Brian Eddy's Dungeons and Dragons wasn't ready' causing X-Men to ship early
Stern lacks a Chief Marketing Officer and proper marketing department focused on home collectors
medium confidence · Kaneda offered direct critique of Stern's organizational structure and marketing strategy
John Wick LE is selling for $10,000 new in box, down from $13,000 retail
high confidence · Kaneda cited specific secondary market pricing as example of value collapse
Rick and Morty sold 750 units in one day and was slightly cheaper than Evil Dead
medium confidence · Kaneda used this as comparison point for Evil Dead's 650-unit week performance
“Spooky Pinball, as a company, has poured a lot of passion into this game. And I think they've sold somewhere north of 650 in just one week. Really good week for Spooky Pinball.”
Kaneda @ ~10:00 — Establishes Evil Dead as a major commercial and critical success for Spooky
“I think Stern Pinball seems like a like a champion player who's not quite himself right now. They're like Travis Kelce. Like, if you picked Travis Kelce on your fantasy team, you were so used to him just crushing it at the tight end position. And now the numbers just aren't there.”
Kaneda @ ~20:00 — Establishes the core narrative that Stern is underperforming despite past dominance
“I feel so gutted that Stern wanted Jack to release this game before it was ready. I feel so gutted that Stern stuck Weisson on X-Men again, and he did it again.”
Kaneda @ ~45:00 — Direct criticism of Stern's decision to rush X-Men and concerns about code quality from Weisson
“The fixes are not coming for this game. And everyone can see the writing on the wall. The fixes are not going to come. The demand for the game is never going to return.”
Kaneda @ ~48:00 — Pronounces X-Men as permanently damaged and unlikely to recover
“At these prices, nobody has patience anymore for you to get your act together. You can't ask me to spend $13,000 on a game that's incomplete.”
Kaneda @ ~52:00 — Articulates the core market problem: high prices eliminate tolerance for unfinished software
“It just doesn't have the magic. It doesn't have the magic from the moment you hit that start button. That code just just doesn't grasp you.”
Kaneda @ ~60:00 — Summarizes the fundamental problem with X-Men's code design and player experience
“I think Stern's issues are all because, as an organization, they don't have a Chief Marketing Officer doing it, his or her job. They just need to build a marketing department.”
Kaneda @ ~78:00 — Identifies organizational structure as root cause of Stern's strategic failures
business_signal: Stern Pinball lacks organizational marketing strategy; no Chief Marketing Officer or dedicated marketing department focused on home collector segment
high · Kaneda: 'I think Stern's issues are all because, as an organization, they don't have a Chief Marketing Officer doing it, his or her job. They just need to build a marketing department'
sentiment_shift: Spooky Pinball experiencing positive momentum and collector/enthusiast goodwill; positioned as beneficiary of competitor (Stern) failures and perceived better creative execution
high · Kaneda: 'What a tremendous week for Spooky Pinball' and 'Spooky's stock is everyone else's stock is sort of declining' and detailed discussion of positive community vibes
competitive_signal: Dungeons and Dragons as upcoming Stern release positioned weakly against Harry Potter and King Kong competitors; theme insufficient to drive market demand
high · Kaneda: 'D&D is not a big enough theme. A big enough hit—is not gonna do what Stern needs a game to do right now' and 'if you had to choose between Dungeons and Dragons and Harry Potter, I I think Potter is going to be the much bigger theme'
design_philosophy: X-Men code described as soulless and uninspired by Weisson; generic open-licensed music and poorly executed battles lacking personality and charm of successful games
high · Kaneda: 'Weisson made a game that's a little bit soulless. It's uninspired. The way he does the battles and, like, the music, and some of those battles, gang, it's like—it's like store-bought music that's just open-licensed tracks'
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“If you have a Tron LE right now, you've enjoyed it for over a decade, you could probably get now $17,000 for it.”
Kaneda @ ~72:00 — Establishes secondary market value thesis and upcoming Tron remake context
“D&D is not a big enough theme. A big enough hit—is not gonna do what Stern needs a game to do right now.”
Kaneda @ ~82:00 — Negative prediction about upcoming Dungeons and Dragons game and competitive pressure from King Kong and Harry Potter
“When you're a designer, man, you pour a year of your life or more into this game, and he did. And he cares so much. And I think it's a learning lesson.”
Kaneda @ ~65:00 — Sympathizes with Jack Danger's position while critiquing management decisions
event_signal: Metallica LE scarcity (500 units) successfully restored FOMO/collector value narrative after John Wick/Venom LE demand failures; secondary market strength validates limited production strategy
high · Kaneda documented $17-18k secondary market prices with 'ready buyers all day long' and contrasted with John Wick LE collapse; framed as deliberate Stern strategy
market_signal: High-priced pinball releases ($13k+) eliminating buyer patience for incomplete software; secondary market value collapses when games ship unfinished
high · Kaneda: 'At these prices, nobody has patience anymore for you to get your act together. You can't ask me to spend $13,000 on a game that's incomplete'
community_signal: Christopher Franchi's transition from Stern to Spooky Pinball art/design role contributing significantly to Evil Dead's positive reception and visual quality
high · Kaneda: 'Christopher Franchi absolutely crushed it with the art package, the sound, uh, the callouts, the mechanisms, the topper' and positioned as reason Spooky can succeed with mainstream themes
market_signal: Secondary market showing meaningful price differentiation between successful (Metallica LE $17-18k) and failed (John Wick LE $10k NIB, $8.5k opened) recent Stern releases
high · Kaneda: documented John Wick LE at $10k new in box and $8.5k opened, contrasted with Metallica LE at $17-18k; buyers taking $4.5k losses or gains on same model tier
product_strategy: X-Men rushed to market ahead of readiness, likely to clear schedule for Brian Eddy's Dungeons and Dragons development
medium · Kaneda speculation: 'Most likely Brian Eddy's Dungeons and Dragons wasn't ready. And so we got this' combined with X-Men's incomplete state
product_concern: X-Men shipped in unfinished state with unfixable code foundation issues; internal Stern sources confirm code was worse during development
high · Kaneda: 'The fixes are not going to come. The demand for the game is never going to return' and 'I heard from people internally over at Stern that if you think the code is bad now, like, you should have seen like where it was'
rumor_hype: John Borg is remaking the original 1982 Tron (not Tron Legacy), with Daft Punk music and modernization approach similar to Metallica
medium · Kaneda: 'You can believe me or not: John Borg is working on the new Tron. It is. I I've heard that it is a remake of the old Tron, that that he's just modernizing'
sentiment_shift: Stern Pinball experiencing notable momentum loss post-John Wick/Venom LE demand failures, with only Metallica LE maintaining strong secondary market value while other recent releases collapse
high · Kaneda documented John Wick LE at $10k NIB (from $13k retail), described Stern as 'champion player not quite himself,' and contrasted with Metallica LE at $17-18k